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Endnotes

State of the State 2023

  1. https://worlduncertaintyindex.com/ Note: The WUI is computed by counting the percent of word “uncertain” (or its variant) in the Economist Intelligence Unit country reports. The WUI is then rescaled by multiplying by 1,000,000. A higher number means higher uncertainty and vice versa. For example, an index of 200 corresponds to the word uncertainty accounting for 0.02 percent of all words, which – given the EIU reports are on average about 10,000 words long – means about 2 words per report.
  2. Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk." Econometrica 47, no. 2 (1979), 263. doi:10.2307/1914185.
  3. Daniella Laureiro‐Martínez and Stefano Brusoni. "Cognitive flexibility and adaptive decision‐making: Evidence from a laboratory study of expert decision makers." Strategic Management Journal 39, no. 4, 2018, 1031-1058. doi:10.1002/smj.2774.
  4. Kahneman and Tversky. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk."
  5. "Why It’s So Hard for Us to Visualize Uncertainty." Harvard Business Review. Last modified November 11, 2016. https://hbr.org/2016/11/why-its-so-hard-for-us-to-visualize-uncertainty
  6. Nikola Tesla interview conducted by John B. Kennedy and published in the 30 January 1926 issue of Collier's magazine.
  7. "Russia-Ukraine War Business Scenarios." Deloitte United States. June 2022. https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/pages/consulting/articles/russia-and-ukraine-war-economy-business-scenarios.html.
  8. "US China Trade War Food for Thought for New Zealand." Deloitte New Zealand. September 2020. https://www2.deloitte.com/nz/en/pages/chinese-services-group/articles/us-china-trade-war-food-for-thought-for-new-zealand.html.
  9. "Global Supply Chains and the US-China Trade War." Deloitte Insights. December 2021. https://www.deloitte.com/global/en/our-thinking/insights/topics/economy/us-china-trade-war-supply-chain.html.
  10. "Research Finds Alpine Fault Quake More Likely in the Next 50 Years." GNS Science | Te Pῡ Ao. https://www.gns.cri.nz/news/research-finds-alpine-fault-quake-more-likely-in-the-next-50-years/.
  11. "Paleotsunamis on the Southern Hikurangi Subduction Zone, New Zealand, Show Regular Recurrence of Large Subduction Earthquakes | The Seismic Record | GeoScienceWorld." https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/ssa/tsr/article/1/2/75/605992/Paleotsunamis-on-the-Southern-Hikurangi-Subduction.
  12. Jennifer Marshman, Alison Blay-Palmer and Karen Landman. "Anthropocene Crisis: Climate Change, Pollinators, and Food Security." Environments 6, no. 2 (2019), 22. doi:10.3390/environments6020022.
  13. "Why Bees Matter." Food and Agriculture Organization. https://www.fao.org/3/I9527EN/i9527en.PDF.
  14. "Aotearoa New Zealand’s Turning Point." Deloitte New Zealand. 2023. https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/nz/Documents/about-deloitte/nz-turning-point-report.pdf.
  15. "Weather-related Disasters Increase over Past 50 Years, Causing More Damage but Fewer Deaths." World Meteorological Organization. Last modified 9 September 2021. https://public.wmo.int/en/media/press-release/weather-related-disasters-increase-over-past-50-years-causing-more-damage-fewer.
  16. "Tackling the Infrastructure Deficit." Deloitte New Zealand. May 2023. https://www2.deloitte.com/nz/en/pages/2023-government-budget/articles/infrastructure.html.
  17. "Distribution of Wealth Across New Zealand Households Remains Unchanged Between 2015 and 2021." Stats NZ. https://www.stats.govt.nz/news/distribution-of-wealth-across-new-zealand-households-remains-unchanged-between-2015-and-2021.
  18. "Household Net Worth Statistics: Year Ended June 2021." Stats NZ. https://www.stats.govt.nz/information-releases/household-net-worth-statistics-year-ended-june-2021/.
  19. “Voices of Pacific peoples: Eliminating pay gap.” New Zealand Human Rights Commission. 2022. Voices-of-Pacific-Peoples-Pacific-Pay-Gap-Inquiry-Report.pdf (secureserver.net)
  20. Matthew Hobbs, Annabel Ahuriri-Driscoll, Lukas Marek, Malcolm Campbell, Melanie Tomintz, and Simon Kingham. "Reducing health inequity for Māori people in New Zealand." The Lancet 394, no. 10209, 2019, 1613-1614. doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(19)30044-3.
  21. "New Cost of Living Figures Show Who It's Hitting Hardest." RNZ. 1 May 2023. https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/489044/new-cost-of-living-figures-show-who-it-s-hitting-hardest.
  22. "Building a Fair Future for All." Deloitte New Zealand. October 2022. https://www2.deloitte.com/nz/en/pages/public-sector/articles/building-a-fair-future-for-all.html.
  23. Kate Raworth. Doughnut Economics: Seven Ways to Think Like a 21st-Century Economist. Hartford: Chelsea Green Publishing, 2017.
  24. "Political Polarisation: the Phenomenon That Should Be on Everyone’s Lips." CaixaBank Research. Last modified 25 November 2022. https://www.caixabankresearch.com/en/economics-markets/public-sector/political-polarisation-phenomenon-should-be-everyones-lips.
  25. "BBC Global Survey: A world Divided?" IPSOS. Last modified 23 April 2018. https://www.ipsos.com/en/bbc-global-survey-world-divided.
  26. Russell Palmer. "Rise in Disinformation, Conspiracy Theories Prompts Calls for Election Protections." RNZ. Last modified 8 April 2023. https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/487555/rise-in-disinformation-conspiracy-theories-prompts-calls-for-election-protections.
  27. "New Zealand’s Internet Insights 2022: Concerns and safety." InternetNZ. https://internetnz.nz/new-zealands-internet-insights/new-zealands-internet-insights-2022/concerns-and-safety.
  28. Milo Comerford, Jakob Guhl and Carl Miller. "Understanding the New Zealand Online Extremist Ecosystem." Institute for Strategic Dialogue. https://www.isdglobal.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/NZ-Online-Extremism-Findings-Report.pdf.
  29. Katarina Williams. "Our Truth, Tā Mātou Pono: Stuff Introduces New Treaty of Waitangi Based Charter Following Historic Apology." Stuff. Last modified 28 November 2020. https://www.stuff.co.nz/pou-tiaki/our-truth/123533668/our-truth-t-mtou-pono-stuff-introduces-new-treaty-of-waitangi-based-charter-following-historic-apology.
  30. "One Million People Aged 65+ by 2028." Stats NZ. Last modified July 2022. https://www.stats.govt.nz/news/one-million-people-aged-65-by-2028/.
  31. Ibid.
  32. "New Zealand Better Life Index." OECD. https://www.oecdbetterlifeindex.org/countries/new-zealand/
  33. "The Future of Aging." Deloitte Insights. Last modified June 2019. https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/industry/health-care/future-of-aging-aging-population-and-healthcare-industry.html.
  34. "How is Our Māori Population Changing?" Stats NZ. Last modified November 2015. https://www.stats.govt.nz/reports/how-is-our-maori-population-changing. Note: By 2038, half the Māori population will be younger than 28 years, compared with 24 years in 2015. Over the same period, the median age of the non-Māori population is projected to increase from 40 years to 45 years.
  35. "Subnational Ethnic Population Projections: 2018(base)–2043." Stats NZ. Last modified March 2022. https://www.stats.govt.nz/information-releases/subnational-ethnic-population-projections-2018base2043.
  36. "Unbounding: Unlimited Reality’s Metaverse for Business Series." Deloitte United States. Last modified December 2022. https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/pages/consulting/articles/unlimited-reality-metaverse-for-business-event-series.html; "Gartner Predicts 25% of People Will Spend At Least One Hour Per Day in the Metaverse by 2026." Gartner. Last modified February 2022. https://www.gartner.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2022-02-07-gartner-predicts-25-percent-of-people-will-spend-at-least-one-hour-per-day-in-the-metaverse-by-2026.
  37. "Stop Distinguishing Between Execution and Strategy." Harvard Business Review. Last modified March 2015. https://hbr.org/2015/03/stop-distinguishing-between-execution-and-strategy.
  38. "Better Life Index: Civic Engagement." OECD. https://www.oecdbetterlifeindex.org/topics/civic-engagement/.
  39. Joel Maxwell. "Labour's Largest Ever Māori Caucus Elects New Chairs Willow-Jean Prime and Rino Tirikatene." Stuff. Last modified November 2020. https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/300160474/labours-largest-ever-mori-caucus-elects-new-chairs-willowjean-prime-and-rino-tirikatene.
  40. "New Zealand Women and the Vote." Ministry for Culture and Heritage. Last modified April 2023. https://nzhistory.govt.nz/politics/womens-suffrage.
    40. Hopgood, Sela. "NZ Election Brings in Largest Pacific Caucus." RNZ. Last modified October 2020. https://www.rnz.co.nz/international/pacific-news/428650/nz-election-brings-in-largest-pacific-caucus.
  41. "Final Voter Turnout Results." Taituarā — Local Government Professionals Aotearoa and LGNZ. Last modified February 2023. https://www.votelocal.co.nz/final-voter-turnout-results/.
  42. "New Zealand Govt Reverses Move to Introduce Bill to Lower Voting Age." Reuters. Last modified March 2023. https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/new-zealand-govt-reverses-move-introduce-bill-lower-voting-age-2023-03-13/.
  43. "Prime Minister Chris Hipkins Abandons Plan for Legislation to Lower Voting Age for General Elections." Newshub. Last modified March 2023. https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2023/03/prime-minister-chris-hipkins-abandons-plan-for-legislation-to-lower-voting-age-for-general-elections.html.
  44. Anneke Smith. "Electoral System Review Recommends Voting Age Lowered to 16, Party Threshold to 3.5%." RNZ. Last modified June 2023. https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/491390/electoral-system-review-recommends-voting-age-lowered-to-16-party-threshold-to-3-point-5-percent.
  45. “Make the Move – Shifting how the public sector works with communities”, Inspiring Communities, New Zealand 2023. https://inspiringcommunities.org.nz/ic_resource/make-the-move-shifting-how-the-public-sector-works-with-communities/
  46. "Bringing Citizens’ Assemblies to the Mainstream." University College London. Last modified May 2022. https://www.ucl.ac.uk/impact/case-studies/2022/apr/bringing-citizens-assemblies-mainstream.
  47. "The New Economics of Innovation and Transition: Evaluating Opportunities and Risks." The Economics of Energy Innovation and System Transition (EEIST), University of Exeter. 2021. https://eeist.co.uk/eeist-reports/the-new-economics-of-innovation-and-transition-evaluating-opportunities-and-risks/.
  48. For example, Deloitte’s Optimal Reality platform: https://www.deloitte.com/an/en/services/consulting/services/optimal-reality.html
  49. UrbanistAI. https://urbanistai.com/.
  50. "New Gorge Highway Project Alliance Wins Diversity Award." Stuff. 25 September 2021. https://www.stuff.co.nz/manawatu-standard/news/300416149/new-gorge-highway-project-alliance-wins-diversity-award.
  51. "Growth in Government Procurement Spend." New Zealand Government Procurement. Last modified May 2021. https://www.procurement.govt.nz/about-us/news/growth-in-government-procurement-spend/.
  52. "Developing a Culturally Appropriate Assessment Model." InterRAI and Deloitte New Zealand. January 2023. https://www.interrai.co.nz/assets/CAAM/InterRAI-CAAM-Final-Report-Final.pdf.
  53. "Residential Flood Insurance Issues Information Release." The Treasury New Zealand. Last modified December 2022. https://www.treasury.govt.nz/sites/default/files/2022-12/residential-flood-insurance-issues-4490225.pdf.
  54. "Sea level rise and the withdrawal of residential insurance in Aotearoa New Zealand." Climate Sigma for the Deep South National Science Challenge. Last modified December 2022. https://deepsouthchallenge.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Insurance-Retreat-December-2020-Final-Report.pdf.
  55. "Underinsurance Poses a Threat to Inclusive Progress in Aotearoa." Deloitte New Zealand. Last modified February 2023. https://www2.deloitte.com/nz/en/blog/financial-services/2023/underinsurance-poses-a-threat-to-inclusive-progress-in-aotearoa.html.
  56. "Sea level rise and the withdrawal of residential insurance in Aotearoa New Zealand." Climate Sigma.
  57. "Underinsurance Poses a Threat to Inclusive Progress in Aotearoa." Deloitte New Zealand.
  58. "Future Global Shocks: Improving Risk Governance." OECD. April 2010. https://www.oecd.org/governance/48329024.pdf.
  59. "Household Income and Housing-cost Statistics: Year Ended June 2022." Stats NZ. March 2023. https://www.stats.govt.nz/information-releases/household-income-and-housing-cost-statistics-year-ended-june-2022/.
  60. "Underinsurance Poses a Threat to Inclusive Progress in Aotearoa." Deloitte New Zealand.
  61. " Material Hardship." Growing Up in New Zealand. April 2023. https://www.growingup.co.nz/growing-up-report/material-hardship.
  62. “New Zealand: Climate Action Tracker.” Climate Action Tracker. March 2023. https://climateactiontracker.org/countries/new-zealand/.
  63. "Wellbeing Budget 2023: Support for today Building for tomorrow." Government of New Zealand. 18 May 2023. https://budget.govt.nz/budget/pdfs/wellbeing-budget/b23-wellbeing-budget.pdf.
  64. "Sustainable Debt Global State of the Market." Climate Bonds Initiative. Last modified 2022. https://www.climatebonds.net/files/reports/cbi_sotm_2022_03e.pdf.
  65. Caralee McLiesh. Speech: “Financing the transition to a low emissions, climate resilient economy." The Treasury New Zealand. 18 September 2022. https://www.treasury.govt.nz/sites/default/files/2022-09/sp-financing-transition-low-emissions-climate-resilient-economy-19sep22_1.pdf.
  66. "Low-emissions economy." Productivity Commission. August 2018. https://www.productivity.govt.nz/assets/Documents/lowemissions/4e01d69a83/Productivity-Commission_Low-emissions-economy_Final-Report_FINAL_2.pdf.
  67. "Govt Increases Contribution to Global Climate Target." New Zealand Government. 31 October 2021. https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/govt-increases-contribution-global-climate-target.
  68. "Low-emissions economy." Productivity Commission.
  69. "Mandatory Climate-related Disclosures." Ministry for the Environment. 17 June 2022. https://environment.govt.nz/what-government-is-doing/areas-of-work/climate-change/mandatory-climate-related-financial-disclosures/.
  70. "NZ Becomes First in World for Climate Reporting." New Zealand Government. Last modified 13 April 2021. https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/nz-becomes-first-world-climate-reporting.
  71. "New Zealand Insights: How can ESG reporting fuel positive change?" Ernst & Young New Zealand. October 2022. https://assets.ey.com/content/dam/ey-sites/ey-com/en_nz/topics/sustainability/ey-nz-fourth-esg-reporting-maturity-assessment.pdf.
  72. "The Cynefin Framework." The Cynefin Co. 8 October 2021. https://thecynefin.co/about-us/about-cynefin-framework/.
  73. Gerard Hutching. “Wading birds - Bar-tailed godwits’ migration route.” Te Ara - the Encyclopedia of New Zealand, June 2006. http://www.TeAra.govt.nz/en/map/9184/bar-tailed-godwits-migration-route
  74. "Bar-tailed Godwit's Sense of Direction." Animal Navigation. 22 August 2011. https://www.animalnav.org/bar-tailed-god-wits/.
  75. Christina Troup. “Bird migration - Preparation for the journey”. Te Ara - the Encyclopedia of New Zealand, 12 June 2006. http://www.TeAra.govt.nz/en/bird-migration/page-5
  76. K Woodley. “Bar-tailed godwit: Kuaka”. In Miskelly, C.M. (ed.) New Zealand Birds Online. 2013. https://nzbirdsonline.org.nz/species/bar-tailed-godwit
  77. "The Godwit’s Long, Long Nonstop Journey." The New York Times. 20 September 2022. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/20/science/migratory-birds-godwits.html.
  78. "Flight of the Godwit." Science Learning Hub - Pokapū Akoranga Pūtaiao. Last modified September 2011. https://www.sciencelearn.org.nz/resources/296-flight-of-the-godwit.
  79. "Long-Haul Godwit." EarthDate Broadcast, Episode 239. 20 November 2021. https://www.earthdate.org/episodes/long-haul-godwit.
  80. “Measuring state sector productivity.” New Zealand Productivity Commission. Final report of the measuring and improving state sector productivity inquiry, vol. 2., 2018. https://www.productivity.govt.nz/assets/Documents/3d3c1cd997/Final-Report-Measuring-State-Sector-Productivity.pdf
  81. “Improving state sector productivity.” New Zealand Productivity Commission. Final report of the measuring and improving state sector productivity inquiry, vol. 1., 2018. https://www.productivity.govt.nz/assets/Documents/a110722008/Final-Report-Improving-State-Sector-Productivity.pdf
  82. “Frontier Firms follow-on review.” New Zealand Productivity Commission, 2023. https://www.productivity.govt.nz/assets/Inquiries/follow-on-review-frontier-firms/Frontier_Firms_follow-on_review_28April2023.pdf
     

 

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