In 2024, commercial real estate mergers and acquisitions (M&A) were not immune to the uncertainties of an election year. In our 2025 commercial real estate M&A outlook report, we explore a few key expectations for real estate M&A in the year ahead.
As we enter the new year, we find ourselves in familiar territory with some notable changes. A new administration in Washington is poised to influence corporate real estate and strategic decisions for dealmakers. Consumer spending remains strong, unemployment has dipped to 4%, and annual inflation, while still above the Federal Reserve's target, has significantly decreased from post-pandemic highs without triggering a recession.
In this outlook, we'll dive into a few key expectations for mergers and acquisitions in commercial real estate this year. But first, let’s take a quick look back at M&A activity in 2024.
Read more about the emerging trends in real estate across office, industrial, retail, hotel and leisure, residential, and nontraditional sectors, and see our full real estate M&A outlook for the upcoming year, in our 2025 Commercial Real Estate M&A Outlook.
To adapt and grow in the future, real estate executives should consider how to address the following global and US-specific expectations.
Hotels. Amid a rebound in industry conferences and other group travel, US hotel construction reached record highs in 2024. By the end of the year, nearly 6,400 projects were in the US hotel construction pipeline, with 730 new properties projected to open in 2025.
Warehouses. In 2024, rents in the US warehousing sector grew by 4.5%, demonstrating resilience despite rising vacancy rates. A notable reduction in construction activity means companies seeking storage facilities are unlikely to find many bargains soon. If protectionist policies take hold in the US, availability could tighten further as logistics demand shifts from ports to production-adjacent locations. Investors might see these conditions as an opportunity to acquire more warehouse assets.
Although real estate M&A didn't reach the anticipated volumes in 2024, the year still concluded with several notable transactions, and the elections are now behind us. However, the market continues to grapple with challenges from fluctuating interest rates and ongoing policy uncertainty. Should transaction activity increase, it may initially progress slowly before accelerating rapidly.
Ultimately, dealmakers who proactively embrace uncertainty in their M&A planning, strategy, and execution are positioning themselves to capitalize on future opportunities and navigate potential challenges more effectively.
In today’s rapidly evolving marketplace environment, key business issues are converging with impacts felt across multiple industry sectors. What are the key trends, challenges, and opportunities that may affect your business and influence your strategy? Look for more perspectives and insights from some of Deloitte’s forward thinkers.
Take a look back at the real estate M&A activity and trends that reshaped the sector in our 2024 outlook.