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The real Budget test: From digital government to digital economy

Budget 2026 must recognise digital as core economic infrastructure that drives productivity, trade, and living standards.

Every Budget season we hear the same refrain: government needs to “go digital”. Better online services, fewer forms, and faster back-office processes matter, but digital isn’t a cost-cutting tool alone. The opportunity is to unlock economic value through digitising the economy.

The Government’s pre-Budget signals on tight fiscal discipline, a leaner public sector, and greater use of digital tools and AI reflect a clear focus on doing more with what we already have. That direction is understandable in the current environment. But it also raises an important test for Budget 2026; whether digital is positioned primarily to reduce cost, or more broadly as a platform for wider economic productivity.

Digital is infrastructure for modern prosperity, just like roads, ports and electricity were for earlier generations. It determines how easily businesses can sell to the world, how people build and use skills, and how effectively public money is deployed.

For Aotearoa, a small country a long way from its markets, this isn’t optional. Productivity lifts living standards, and digital is one of the few levers that can shrink the disadvantage of distance.

Yes, Budget 2026 should measure success by internal public sector efficiency gains, but also by what becomes easier for people and firms to do in the real economy, particularly as agencies are asked to deliver more with fewer resources.

Ahead of Budget 2026, four practical moves could shift the focus from ‘digitising government’ to building a genuinely digital economy, while still aligning with the Government’s focus on discipline, reprioritisation, and better use of existing spending.

Trade is being reshaped by data. Physical goods must still move, but value is increasingly created and captured through trusted digital information that proves provenance, sustainability and compliance across global supply chains. In leading markets, digital trade is about ensuring value flows back to producers, rather than being competed away or lost to intermediaries.

New Zealand has signalled its intent through initiatives like the Government’s digital trade work programme. Yet exporting still feels stubbornly paper‑bound, even as others move from pilots to national systems. Major trading partners are treating paperless trade as core economic infrastructure - aligning standards, modernising laws and investing once so exporters don’t each have to solve the problem alone.

Data rather than documentation means trade friction drops, resulting in fewer delays, fewer errors, and lower compliance costs. More importantly, exporters can meet rising international expectations and retain value that would otherwise be lost as digital traceability becomes a baseline requirement for market access.

One signal to watch for in Budget 2026 is investment that turns ‘paperless trade’ into a national capability: shared standards, shared infrastructure, and a coordinated coalition of agencies and industry that can implement at scale, rather than sector-by-sector.

The Government’s emphasis on reprioritising existing spending rather than large new outlays reinforces the case for these kind of shared, economy-wide platforms, where a single investment reduces cost and friction across thousands of exporters.

Small businesses are the engine room of New Zealand’s economy. They employ a large share of the workforce, anchor regional communities, and drive much of the country’s day‑to‑day economic activity. When small firms lift productivity, the impact compounds across the economy.

The challenge is not that individual government agencies are especially hard to deal with. Research consistently shows the real burden sits in the cumulative effort: repeated requests for similar information, inconsistent digital experiences, and fragmented interactions across multiple agencies, obligations and life events. This fragmentation is directly acknowledged in the pre-Budget speech, which points to silos, duplication and overly complex processes as barriers to better performance in the public service.

For many small firms, the biggest inefficiency is that they must go to government to do what they need to do – applying for permits, managing regulatory conformance, accessing grants and support, meeting reporting and tax obligations – each through separate systems and processes. The commercial cadence of small business is not reflected in the expected interactions with government.

The productivity prize sits in flipping this model. Government then becomes part of the small business digital ecosystem, embedded in the workflows and moments where business activity already happens. When public services, regulation and support are designed to plug into everyday business activity, digitisation translates into real productivity gains. This means fewer admin hours, better decisions, and more time spent on customers, staff and growth.

The announced move toward consolidating agencies and adopting common technology platforms creates a window to re-design these interactions from the ground up, so that efficiency gains inside government translate into simpler experiences outside it.

Many of the building blocks already exist. Digital identity, data‑sharing capabilities, core business platforms, sector systems and government services are already in place, or emerging. What’s missing is bringing them together so they operate as a coherent ecosystem, rather than a set of disconnected digital touchpoints.

When people hear “digital in social services”, they often think call centres, online portals and apps. But the reality is, the larger productivity gain sits behind the scenes, showing up as using data and analytics to intervene earlier, joining support up, and reducing the number of people reaching crisis point in the first place. This focus on earlier, more effective intervention aligns with the Government’s stated intent to move beyond short-term “band-aid” spending and instead address the underlying drivers of affordability and social pressure.

Done well, this focuses more on changing the timing and targeting of public investment, than it does on technology. Earlier, better informed decisions can reduce demand on acute services and avoid high-cost interventions that are expensive for the state and disruptive for families.

To deliver this consistently, government needs three capabilities that are currently uneven:

  • Safe data sharing across agencies, with clear purpose and strong governance.
  • Better insight, using analytics to identify risk early and understand what interventions work.
  • Outcomes-based investment, so funding follows results over time rather than activity in silos.

The social investment approach points in this direction by focusing on prevention, measurement and learning, over the full lifecycle of an investment. The implementation of the approach remains uneven across the country. The opportunity is to embed these capabilities as standard practice and to create platforms that democratise the strengths that are already held across the public and community sectors.

We would welcome continued investment in the foundations of the social investment system. That looks like data infrastructure that enables safe and effective reuse, evaluation capability that sharpens decision‑making, and procurement settings that reward outcomes rather than process. These are the building blocks that make prevention the default, improving social outcomes, easing long‑term fiscal pressure, and lifting overall productivity.

If you want growth, you must make it easier to use land well. Few things frustrate people more than slow, inconsistent processes, whether it’s buying a new home, working through a factory expansion, or concepting a renewable energy project.

At its core, resource management reform is about empowering better, faster decisions about land use. That applies at every level - national infrastructure that needs to be resilient as we adapt to climate change, iwi making long‑term investment choices such as geothermal over forestry, businesses deploying capital with confidence, and landowners using their land in ways that reflect their priorities. Those decisions depend on clear rules, good data, and systems that make trade‑offs visible early.

The pre-Budget speech highlights faster housing delivery and infrastructure investment as priorities; a consistent digital layer across the planning and consenting system will be critical to realising those ambitions at scale.

That will not happen through legislative change alone. It requires digital infrastructure that supports the full land‑use system – how plans are created and updated, how land use is understood through data, and how activities are assessed, approved and monitored over time. A national approach can provide a consistent foundation for councils, developers and communities, rather than reinforcing a patchwork of local processes.

Done well, the impact is practical: faster processes with less administrative burden, better decisions supported by high‑quality spatial data, and greater confidence in how rules are applied. For Budget 2026, the signal to watch is investment in shared spatial data foundations and national platforms that councils can plug into. Without this, reform risks being absorbed into existing fragmentation. With it, reform translates into faster delivery of housing and infrastructure, and better long‑term decisions about how land and capital are used.

So, what should we look for on Budget day?

Digitising government is necessary, but it’s the floor. The real question of this Budget is whether we’re investing in the economy-wide rails that make it easier for New Zealanders to get things done. These include being able to export faster, run a business with fewer admin hours, get support earlier, use land more effectively, and build skills as the labour market shifts.

The Government has been clear that Budget 2026 will prioritise getting the books back in shape while investing in targeted areas such as infrastructure, frontline services and capability improvements. The opportunity is to ensure digital investments sit across these priorities as a unifying layer, rather than a standalone workstream.

Three simple Budget tests can cut through the detail:

  • Does it reduce friction? Less paperwork, fewer duplicated steps, faster decisions.
  • Does it scale? Works for thousands of SMEs and communities, not just a pilot in one agency.
  • Does it build trust? Secure systems, clear accountability, and data used with purpose and permission.

A Budget that backs digital trade, a connected business ecosystem, prevention-first social investment, and a modern land use system is investing in productivity.

Budget 2026 is a chance to treat digital as the infrastructure of a more productive, resilient economy.

Budget 2026: The long game

The New Zealand Government’s 2026 Budget will be delivered on 28 May. Explore analysis and perspectives from our experts, and register to receive our insights.

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