About the study
The ‘OECD Minimum Tax Impact Analysis 2026’ looks at the impact of the OECD Minimum Tax on the 50 largest Swiss-listed corporations for the 2025 financial year. The study is based on an assessment of published annual reports with mandatory provisions relating to the tax. The actual number of corporations analysed was 46, as some of them are dual-listed; details of individual ones are provided in the accompanying presentation. A lack of publicly available data prevented Swiss corporations in private hands and Swiss subsidiaries of foreign corporations from being analysed.
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In line with the objectives of the minimum tax project launched by the OECD and G20, multinational enterprises with consolidated revenues of EUR 750 million or above are to pay a minimum tax rate of 15 per cent in every country in which they operate. If the tax rate in a certain country is below 15 per cent, a top-up tax must be paid to make up the difference. Each country is free to choose whether or not to introduce the OECD Minimum Tax rules unilaterally. Those that do will need to comply with the OECD’s framework in full, something that is monitored by peer review.
The top-up tax is collected in three stages. Every country can impose a domestic minimum top-up tax to bridge the gap to the 15 per cent figure. If it opts not to, the country in which the corporation’s parent company (or an intermediate holding company) has its registered office can levy a cross-border top-up tax on the profits of foreign subsidiaries held directly or indirectly. This is based on what the OECD calls the Income Inclusion Rule, or IIR. If the country in which the ultimate parent company has its registered office does not enforce the IIR, all the other countries in which the corporation has subsidiaries can apply their own top-up tax to the profits taxed at too low a rate in accordance with the OECD’s Undertaxed Profit Rule, or UTPR.
By threatening ‘revenge taxes’ (especially extra withholding taxes on payments to non-US companies), the USA carved out a specific exemption for its own corporations. This came into force on 1 January 2026 (known as the side-by-side system) and only benefits corporations whose ultimate parent company is based in the USA. It means that individual countries can still levy top-up taxes at national but not international level. Other countries could also claim the specific exemption as a basic principle – China and India have already expressed an interest and are being considered by the OECD.
In a referendum, around 80 per cent of Swiss voters and all cantons supported the introduction of the OECD Minimum Tax in Switzerland. The Federal Council then introduced the tax in two stages: on 1 January 2024 (domestic top-up tax) and 1 January 2025 (cross-border top-up tax following the IIR). The Federal Council has not yet introduced a cross-border tax following the UTPR, due to political reasons and concerns over legal certainty. It estimates that ‘several hundred’ (listed and unlisted) Swiss corporations and ‘several thousand’ foreign corporations with Swiss-based subsidiaries will be affected. The Federal Council is initially forecasting additional annual tax receipts of between CHF 1.5 billion and CHF 3.5 billion in the first few years of the scheme.
According to the annual reports published so far, the amount in top-up taxes paid by the largest companies listed in Switzerland has risen from CHF 243.2 million (2024) to CHF 563.8 million (2025) – a striking 132 per cent increase compared with 2024. Yet this does not necessarily mean more income for the Swiss treasury, as most of the corporations do not disclose whether their top-up taxes are owed in Switzerland or elsewhere. Since more countries brought in national top-up taxes in 2025, however, Deloitte estimates that Swiss corporations are likely to pay more abroad.
Different corporations are being affected to vastly different extents, with 54 per cent of those analysed facing no or only an immaterial impact from the OECD GMT (2024: 65 per cent, i.e. a fall of 11 percentage points). The remaining 46 per cent are being affected to varying degrees, with impacts ranging from moderate to significant and the two biggest payers shouldering a full three-quarters between them.
The top-up taxes are concentrated in a handful of industries, with pharmaceutical and financial corporations bearing 90 per cent of the total top-up tax burden.
No fewer than 70 per cent of the corporations affected are anticipating annual compliance costs of over USD 0.5 million, with 25 per cent predicting an even heftier bill in excess of USD 1 million. The Swiss tax authorities are likewise facing a higher outlay, as Deloitte learned from its conversations with representatives from cantonal tax offices. Deloitte believes that there is a mismatch between these compliance costs and the tax receipts being collected; in other words, corporations and authorities alike are investing substantial resources in a system that is yielding less than expected. This is a structural problem that cannot be ignored.
Whether the CHF 1.5–3.5 billion in extra tax takings estimated by the Federal Council will actually be achieved remains to be seen. A lack of data on subsidiaries of foreign corporations means that it is not yet possible to make a conclusive assessment. The corporations have until 30 June 2026 to file their tax return for 2024, with initial indications from the cantons expected in the autumn. Based on the information to hand, however, Deloitte is currently expecting Switzerland’s extra receipts to be fairly low.
The Federal Council has not yet adjusted its forecast. By contrast, there have been some interesting developments in other countries: The UK has dialled down its tax income forecast from GBP 2.8 billion to GBP 1.6 billion (-43 per cent), while the Netherlands has lowered its own expectations from EUR 466 million to EUR 346 million (-25 per cent). One major reason for this trend has been the specific exemptions granted to US corporations since 1 January 2026, which are putting Swiss corporations at a disadvantage.
Several cantons have responded to the introduction of the OECD GMT, raising tax rates and launching new subsidy schemes for research, development and innovation.
The OECD GMT is not going away any time soon, despite receipts being highly likely to remain below expectations. The EU and most other participating countries are likely to persevere with it, not least due to their high debt levels. Here in Switzerland, however, the criticism is not going to die down. Quite the opposite, in fact: The combination of high compliance costs, low tax takings and unequal treatment compared with US corporations is having an adverse impact on the country as a place to do business. The federal and cantonal governments need to take action to preserve its commercial appeal.
Deloitte therefore feels that the time is ripe for a fourth corporate tax reform. The plan to convert the ordinance on minimum taxation into a fully fledged federal act could form the basis for a ‘Corporate Tax Reform IV’. Deloitte believes that, without reform, Switzerland will gradually lose its appeal – not through mass exoduses but through an increase in new jobs and new investment being based abroad rather than at home.
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