We’ve made an international commitment to help roll back climate change. Now we need to choose the pathways to reach our target.
Canada has joined a growing list of countries, including Japan, France, and the United Kingdom, in pledging to reach net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. This means balancing the planet-warming greenhouse gasses (GHGs) we produce from burning fossil fuels with those we remove by switching to zero carbon alternatives. Reaching net-zero by 2050 is likely our last chance to limit global temperature rise to within 1.5oC by the end of the century. If we miss this window, the global impact could be devastating—not just for those already experiencing the adverse effects of climate change but also for future generations.
Deloitte Canada partnered with Navius Research to look at two possible courses of action. Using their comprehensive gTech model, we charted a business-as-usual path and a potential pathway for reaching net-zero emissions by 2050. But how can Canada slash its use of fossil fuels over the next three decades?
The various elements in the chart above are all viable resources to drive decarbonization in Canada. Understanding the sequence of these variables, and their interplay with emissions, can help us model a net-zero future for Canada.
It will be a significant challenge, given that Canada is among the world’s top per-capita emitters of GHGs—we emit more than double the G20 average. While the country’s emissions account for just 2 percent of global GHGs, this is no excuse for inaction. In fact, this positions us to stake out a leadership position on an international front.
Fossil fuels account for 70 percent of the energy consumed in Canada
How can we reduce our dependency on them over the next 30 years? Fortunately, several proven and emerging technologies that could underpin the decarbonization effort are already available in Canada. This article will explore these options, and how understanding and implementing can help nudge us toward our commitment over the next thirty years.
The next decade must focus on a rapid transition to carbon-free energy systems. This would mean investing in solutions that are commercially viable today, while piloting emerging technologies that have the potential to unlock significant carbon reduction in the decades to follow.
A long-term decarbonization strategy would rely on emerging technologies—most of which are currently in the demonstration state, and not yet commercially viable. Their deployment would rely on policy and investment decisions that are taken in the next five to 10 years.
In the journey to zero carbon emissions globally, a few nations need to lead for many to follow. Canada should be at the forefront. There’s no question it will demand change from our governments and businesses, from every family and individual. We have what it takes: Strong national alignment, with many businesses on-board to reduce emissions, the financial sector ready to act on climate risk reduction and low-carbon growth, policymakers considering the best strategies, and industrious entrepreneurs
Canadian organizations must continue to build new solutions and powerful technologies in clean energy to bring down costs, commercialize promising ideas, and spur investment. Indigenous knowledge and stewardship also holds significant potential to amplify the protection and growth of rich natural landscapes. We can join forces through a collective will for planetary health, and make decarbonization a national, non-partisan project.
A net-zero Canada is a net benefit for all. Let’s start now.
Deloitte Canada partnered with Navius Research, a private, independent research firm, to model the net-zero 2050 pathways.