Successful implementation of a go-alone strategy hinges on careful planning. This report highlights the key questions biotechs must address. There is no one-size-fits-all solution. Each biotech has a unique profile, requiring an expansion strategy in Europe tailored to its circumstances. Making the optimal choices for a specific product launch, including its timing, is crucial for success.
The European pharmaceutical market is attractive due to its size. The European market accounts for almost a quarter of global pharmaceutical sales and is forecast to grow at a compound annual growth rate of four per cent. This presents a compelling opportunity for growth-oriented biotech companies. In this report, a biotech is defined as a pharmaceutical company with a market capitalization of less than $10 billion at the time of European Medicines Agency (EMA) regulatory approval.
Europe's influence on the global pharmaceutical market extends beyond its market size. Its agencies, such as the EMA and national Health Technology Assessment bodies, hold significant sway in regulatory approvals and pricing decisions across other global markets. Securing pricing and patient access within Europe can therefore be pivotal for biotech companies, paving the way for broader global market access.
A biotech must decide how to commercialize a product in Europe. Among the four expansion models – go-alone, co-develop & co-commercialize, out-license, and sell – the go-alone approach offers the highest potential financial rewards, but also carries the greatest business risk. This model requires the biotech to handle all aspects of commercialization independently, either in-house or through third-party collaborations.
A biotech company's decision to go-alone in the European market will depend on circumstances. Products addressing significant unmet clinical needs can command premium pricing, boosting revenue and overall portfolio value, especially when followed by subsequent launches. A go-alone decision must consider the prospects for the product: the patient population, the prescriber base, and supply chain complexity. Additionally, a stable revenue stream from existing markets outside of Europe can provide the financial security needed for a successful European launch. Ultimately, a go-alone strategy is best supported by a combination of portfolio value, product feasibility, and entity financing.
Since 2017, over 100 biotech companies have navigated the European market with their first product launch. Analysis of these launches reveals a distinct shift in expansion model preferences. While the pre-pandemic era saw a strong inclination towards go-alone strategies, the uncertainty of 2020-2023, marked by the pandemic and subsequent economic volatility, led to a decline in preference for this approach. Biotechs, facing unprecedented challenges, opted for lower-risk options like out-licensing or selling. In 2024, better access to financing, a fall in the costs of development in real terms, and improvements in outsourcing options are reducing the risks associated with go-alone. Data indicates a resurgence of go-alone product launches. This suggests a return to pre-pandemic norms as companies once again set their sights on achieving the rewards from launching in Europe through go-alone.
A biotech needs to establish a business in Europe that can support the launch, whilst staging investments to avoid incurring too much upfront cost.
Key areas to consider include, but are not limited, to: