We look at how uncertainty, complexity and the related caution they bring, have been affecting the global economy. We also outline how Australian leaders can move forward, despite this. Using scenarios gives us a better understanding of how a range of potential events could play out in the Australian economy. Having this information gives leaders the confidence they need to navigate uncertainty and invest in the future.

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We take a close look at three plausible futures for Australia and the impact these scenarios have on multiple industries, sectors and locations.

1. China tips into recession – consider the unseen events

2. Australia surfs Asia’s third wave – slipstream into the world’s fastest growing markets

3. Australia gets cyber smart – act with confidence, accelerate growth

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We set out some practical steps for leaders to follow to ensure their business can navigate uncertainty. Rising uncertainty means that change can arrive faster, and its consequences can be more unexpected: that means the value of thinking about plausible futures has risen by a lot. But we’re in the same old rut - most organisations haven’t really changed the depth, frequency or methods of how they think about what may come next. The future may be uncertain, but it isn’t entirely unknown. The better the information you can bring to bear, the smarter your strategy can be. Scenario planning is one way to get better information.

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