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Deloitte Global Economics Research Center
Amid an uncertain US economy, shifting tariffs, monetary policy, inflation, and treasury yields shape three possible paths for what comes next
Although the US economy remains strong, driven by consumer spending and business investment, uncertainty is still weighing on its outlook for the year
The US economy remains strong with robust consumer spending and high business investment, but its future trajectory largely hinges on the policies of the incoming administration.
The Q3 2024 forecast indicates how robust consumer spending, high business investment, and lower interest rates have kept optimism about the US economy intact. However, risks like geopolitical tensions and persistently high inflation remain.
The forecast for Q2 2024 shows confidence in the US economy, supported by consumer spending, business investment, and a robust job market. However, global uncertainties and inflation worries remain.
The Q1 2024 US economic forecast indicates optimism, despite persisting geopolitical risks and inflation concerns.
The Q4 2023 US Economic Forecast explores the state of the US economy, amid challenges like a runup in interest rates to fight inflation, federal budget policy volatility, and growing geopolitical tensions.
The Q3 2023 US Economic Forecast indicates growing signs of a "soft landing" for the US economy; however, headwinds persist.
The Q2 2023 US Economic Forecast signals a return to normal---for now. It remains to be seen how the recent debt-ceiling agreement will impact the economy and shape concerns about an impending slowdown.
In the Q1 2023 US Economic Forecast, we discuss the likelihood of a soft landing for the US economy—provided four key issues are addressed in a timely manner.
