Attribution – that is, ascribing causal relationships between variables – is at the centre of almost every policy discussion seeking to understand the effects of a given policy or program.
While determining attribution can often be challenging, it is especially so in the context of wellbeing. Attribution of changes in student wellbeing to a specific educational intervention is made particularly challenging by how dependent student wellbeing is on environmental factors. A recent Report Card by UNICEF Innocenti highlights the importance of viewing a student’s wellbeing in the context of their ‘worlds of influence’. Student wellbeing at school cannot be viewed in isolation from a broader context of their family, community, and society. Without a way of accounting for these factors, drawing conclusions about causal relationships between policy initiatives and student wellbeing is extremely difficult.
It is also important to critically reflect on potential causal direction. Reflecting on the link between preventative services and referrals is a clear illustration of this problem. Student referrals datasets are one of the richest sources of information on the frequency and type of support required by students. It is easy to jump to the conclusion that better prevention should cause a reduction in referrals. However, prevention activities might also result in greater awareness about the supports available and therefore higher referrals.
Quality data as an enabler to system-wide change
While the last decade has seen significant advances in the collection and use of evidence to drive performance improvement across education systems, the collection, interpretation and use of evidence in relation to wellbeing remains an area where further progress is needed. The imperative to achieve this progress has been accentuated by the events of the last year.
Ultimately, the success of our education systems to, in Andy Hargreaves’s words, “move beyond an age defined by achievement and effort alone, to one that also gets to grips with engagement, identity and wellbeing” will largely be underpinned by a genuine commitment to the development and effective use of a coherent and robust evidence base.
This article was authored by Pola Orlowska and Rachael Mariani from Deloitte Access Economics.