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Crunch time series for CFOs: Novel and exponential technologies in Finance

The NExT frontiers in technology transformation

Generative AI, language models, machine learning, augmented reality, quantum computing: These hot topics are everywhere, and they likely aren’t going away. Everywhere you turn, it seems like someone is testing the abilities of consumer-facing generative AI applications, such as ChatGPT, AlphaCode, DALL·E, and Bard, and learning their limitations … and potential. And everyone—including Finance leaders—could be wondering what these technologies mean for their work and for the future.

 

It’s no secret that these leading-edge solutions will likely play an outsised role in Finance’s evolution. Self-service, finance cycles, and enterprise resource planning (ERP) all stand to potentially change because of them. But the question remains: How? The answers will be up to each organisation and its leaders. Forward thinking can yield opportunity, but there’s also room for skepticism: about the technology’s limits, about return on investment, and about the ethical downsides that loom amid equity and bias concerns, plagiarism, intellectual property theft, and socioeconomic challenges. These are likely to be new items on every Finance leader’s existing stack of concerns. It’s no wonder that in the face of so much change, another risk can be inertia itself.

With that in mind, we’ve designed a pragmatic guide to the technologies that are likely to disrupt your organisation over the next few years. We’ll show you what you should know, what to watch out for, and where to focus. (It might not be where you think.)

  • The original AI (intelligent automation, conversational AI, visual AI, etc.)
    We’ve reached the point of talking about "traditional" AI capabilities—ones you’re likely familiar with and may use already. Some Finance organisations have broadly used capabilities like robotic process automation (RPA) and natural language processing (NLP) to automate tasks, streamline individual tasks, and uncover patterns and correlations. These tools have shown they can automate routine activities and reduce human workloads, but they cannot replace human workers when it comes to addressing complexity, ambiguity, or surprises.
  • Machine learning (ML)
    Machine learning is a data analysis method that uses algorithms and historical data to identify patterns and make predictions. The “learning” in its name comes from real-world contexts, not programmed rules. High-volume finance activities that require judgment-based decisions can benefit from ML—in chatbot interactions, predictive forecasting, and tax compliance, for example. But ML can’t work past anomalies or substandard data the way humans can. At least, not yet. For those curious about generative AI, ML could be a start, with similar use cases, but implemented generally faster and less expensively (for now).
  • Generative AI
    Behind the current buzz is a powerful new kind of AI in which machines can create new content that mimics human work—text, code, voices, images, videos, and more. For Finance, the technology’s full potential may still be in the (near) future. For now, though, generative AI can function like an always-on, automated analyst: It can prepare a budget or write a report, but you wouldn’t take its work to the board without checking it yourself. Still, because it can "team up" with humans so quickly and efficiently, generative AI appears likely to spur dramatic changes in finance work in the years ahead.

Augmented reality (AR)
By superimposing digital images over a view of the physical world, AR can build immersive virtual experiences in real time. In finance, the same technology may offer benefits such as experiential learning. When combined with digital twin technology, AR may help simulate production lines, facilities that haven’t been built yet, or even finance workflows. Imagine touring a factory and "seeing" information about production costs and operational expenses superimposed over each part of the line. For now, though, most of the likely uses of AR appear to remain consumer-facing.

Quantum computing
Not a faster or bigger computer, but rather an entirely new kind, quantum machines use deep physics to perform complex tasks at speeds that transcend math itself. The possibilities appear immense, but even the people creating quantum computers are still learning what they’re capable of. For Finance leaders, this could be a technology to keep abreast of, but it’s not one you’re likely to use very soon. Someday, though, it may take AI technologies to new heights—with sophisticated modeling, valuation simulations, and other uses. When quantum comes of age, it may be a disruptive business force.

A DNA of people, technology, data, and controls

 

An evolution is based on DNA—and no matter what technologies you incorporate into your Finance function, your tech evolution should rest on a no-regrets foundation of a clean core, data, and security. Key investments in your people, processes, and core technology (which includes the ways you deal with your data) mean you could be better off when you decide to implement leading-edge tech. If Finance can’t trust and scale new tech because the building blocks aren’t there, then the investment likely isn’t worth it.

The common denominator in these novel technologies is that they work with people, not in place of them. That can offer new capabilities, but also could demand new skills. Before you set out to build or acquire those skills, you should answer some foundational questions: What does your organisation need? Where will these capabilities live? Can your workers not only learn to use tools like generative AI, but also recognise bias and validate outputs?

Predictive and generative AI are next-gen tools. They may not align well with a last-gen ERP solution. This may be the time to consider implementing a new ERP as a foundation for everything that’s soon to arrive. Finance doesn’t only benefit from this transformation—it can also help guide it, by leading smart decisions about the planning and investment decisions that will shape the new platform.

AI is hungry for information, from more internal and external sources than you may be used to managing. It’s time to get serious about the availability, completeness, standardisation, accuracy, and security of the data your Finance function depends on. If you don’t already have a formalised Finance data organisation and/or private models, this may be the time to put those structures in place and get your team out of spreadsheets.

Systemic rules and controls are what harness a technology to your business’s strategic goals—and they’re also the keys to mitigating risk and imposing ethical safeguards. Threats of misuse, unintended outcomes, and cyberattack have the potential to mount every time a new technology comes online, so organisations should examine and strengthen their processes—before, not after, they adopt emerging technologies as part of their operations.

How to get started

 

Discussions of new technologies often end with the advice to pilot, experiment, and “fail forward fast.” That spirit may help inform the implementation of emerging technologies like these, but some of these tools may require too large an investment to move forward without a comprehensive plan. Finance can lead the way in creating that road map by identifying parts of the enterprise that can benefit, crafting the relevant business cases, and subjecting any pilot efforts to careful bottom-line analysis.

Here's a list to consider when getting started:

  • Frame and communicate your vision for an AI-enabled Finance function.
  • Come to grips with your data standards and governance.
  • Evaluate and execute a pilot for leading-edge technology in a controlled manner; scale once successful.
  • Make strategic choices about your talent—what do you need that’s different from what you have today, and how do you make sure you have what you need for tomorrow?
  • Create an ecosystem for interoperable tech solutions that work together to deliver end-to-end outcomes that can make AI-enabled Finance a reality.

It's Crunch time.

If you’ve taken the steps above, you have a foundational road map. Stay true to it. If a new shiny object comes along—and don’t worry, one’s likely already on the way—you should take a step back and consider the fundamentals. How would this technology really create value for my Finance organisation and strengthen our position as a business partner? Is this technology really that different from what we’ve already implemented, or is it truly a game changer? Only you and your organisation can answer those questions. However, as you move forward, keep in mind: evolution, not revolution. It’s crunch time.

Deloitte can help

 

Our Finance Labs explore the “art of the possible” and define your Finance Transformation strategy, bringing to life potential use cases, road map priorities, and future-state benefits. Contact us to learn more.

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