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Commodity Risk Services

Turn volatility into strategic advantage

In today’s volatile commodity markets, unmanaged risk erodes value. Our Commodity Risk Services provides risk management, analytics and trading governance to protect margins, stabilise cash flow, and unlock opportunities

Southeast Asia’s commodity power comes with rising risk

Commodity market volatility is no longer episodic. It is structural, persistent, and increasingly difficult to predict. Across South-East Asia, one of the world’s largest exporters of crude oil, coal, palm oil, rubber, sugar, and nickel, businesses face unpredictable prices, disrupted supply chains, policy interventions, and rising ESG expectations.

Yet few corporates and state-owned enterprises have built the robust capabilities needed to manage these risks. Treasury functions often lack real-time visibility, trading units remain under-digitised, and governance frameworks are lagging behind market realities. Unmanaged exposure can quickly erode margins, destabilise cash flows, and undermine competitiveness.

What clients are asking about commodity risk today

Across Southeast Asia, business leaders are navigating persistent commodity volatility while facing mounting internal and external pressures. From regulatory compliance and internal controls to commercial strategy and digital enablement, the questions they are asking to reflect both risk exposure and growth ambition. Whether driven by risk management, compliance, performance, or business transformation, these are the real issues we help solve every day.

How can we support you

Our Commodity Risk Services help clients anticipate, manage, and capitalise on this volatility. We deliver integrated solutions that combine risk analytics, trading governance, and commercial optimisation across the commodity value chain. From strategic exposure insights to digital enablement through CTRM platforms, our approach is tailored to your operating model, financial priorities, and risk appetite. Whether you trade, consume, or finance commodities, we help you build resilience, protect enterprise value, and turn uncertainty into opportunity.

1. Commodity price risk exposure analysis

  • Identify and quantify commodity risk exposure through advanced simulation models and stress testing techniques.

2. Commodity risk management strategy

  • Explore financial risk management strategies through simulated impact of various options of strategies.
  • Advise ‘fit-for-purpose’ commodity risk management strategies.

3. Risk governance, process and controls

  • Design and implement robust governance framework, policies, processes and controls to enhance risk oversight and decision making

4. Financial instrument valuation

  • Provide advisory, validation, and valuation services for financial instruments, including forwards, swaps, and options.

5. Compliance of hedging strategy

  • Assess and recommend enablers for compliance against regulatory and reporting requirements for hedging activities, including validating hedge effectiveness to optimise risk mitigation strategies

6. Capability building

  • Design and conduct training, and hands-on support to upskill management and employees in commodity risk management, hedge accounting, and valuation.

1. Trading exposure analysis and analytics

  • Identify and quantify trading risk exposure through advanced simulation models and stress testing techniques.
  • Mark-to-market, VaR, scenario modelling and stress testing

2. Strategy and operating model design

  • Design operating model to establish a trading desk

3. Trading governance, process and controls

  • Design and implement robust governance framework, policies, processes, limit structures and controls to enhance risk oversight and decision making

4. CTRM platform selection and advisory

  • Vendor selection support (RFP preparation and evaluation process)

5. Project management office (PMO)

  • End-to-end PMO services for CTRM implementation

Connect operational, commercial, and logistical decision-making to capitalise on market opportunities and manage constraints across the full value chain.

1. Integrated decision-making across operations and trading

  • Integrate trading strategies with operational planning (procurement, production, logistics, inventory) to optimise decisions on a total value basis rather than desk-level P&L.
  • Integrated planning and governance to align traders, operators, schedulers, and risk during normal and stressed market conditions.

2. Process, data, and systems alignment

  • Standardise critical processes and define a single source of truth across trading, operations, risk, and finance.

3. Optionality and constraint management

  • Identify and quantify embedded optionality in storage, processing, transport, and contracts under different price and volatility scenarios.
  • Optimise trading and physical flows considering real-world constraints such as capacity, quality, logistics, regulatory, and contractual limits.

4. Enterprise-wide value realisation

  • Define enterprise-level KPIs to track realised value, working capital efficiency, and return on capital across the value chain.
  • Align risk appetite, decision authorities, and incentives to enterprise value creation rather than siloed trading or operational metrics.