On 20 April 2026, the government sent a letter to the Senate and the House of Representatives entitled ‘Energy Shock Resilience Actions’ (Acties Weerbaarheid Energieschok), in response to which this letter outlines various scenarios and announces measures. This alert discusses the tax package’s components.
Introduction
The ongoing conflict in the Middle East increasingly leads to disruptions in the supply of oil and oil products. Demand for oil is relatively inelastic, so a decline in supply has a relatively strong impact on the price.
This conflict has resulted in higher prices, increasing uncertainty and heightened volatility in the energy markets across the globe. Its economic consequences are far-reaching and include a decline in global trade and economic growth, rising costs for businesses, higher costs for households and uncertainty in financial markets. What’s more, it directly affects energy-intensive sectors.
Bearing in mind this uncertainty, the government has developed five scenarios for the energy supply, the economic consequences and the impact on households and businesses. The government is preparing for these scenarios and is developing measures to support households and businesses.
Household purchasing power, businesses’ elasticity, and resilience
Budgetary coverage
Motions and windfall profits in the energy sector
The House of Representatives has adopted motions requesting an investigation into whether companies that may be realising windfall profits due to rising energy prices may contribute to mitigating price rises or supporting vulnerable households. Likewise, it has requested insight into previous measures from 2022 aimed at skimming off windfall profits.
The government currently sees no evidence of windfall profits in the gas market. As for the oil market, although there are indications that revenues from oil extraction and refining have risen, the development of prices and costs remains uncertain. Moreover, with hardly any oil being extracted in the Netherlands, any additional profits are largely realised abroad. Price trends at Dutch refineries are uncertain, too.
The government considers it complex to define ‘windfall’ in unambiguous terms and believes it is undesirable to unilaterally introduce an additional levy on top of corporate income tax. This must be discussed at the European level. The government refers to measures taken in 2022, such as the temporary solidarity contribution and the inframarginal electricity levy, which were also decided upon at EU level. In this respect it is noted that these levies have led to numerous legal proceedings, both in the Netherlands and elsewhere.
Source:
Dennis van Bergen
Manager | Global Business Tax
Tel: +31(0)88 286 1443
dvanbergen@deloitte.nl