We have split this article in two sections:
Figure 1: The regulatory landscape for IRRBB and CSRBB is developing
We expect that the implementation and application of the updated Guidelines and RTS will be one of the larger regulatory deliverables for banks’ ALM risk departments over the period to come. We advise banks to take action and define next steps to overcome their challenges and reach timely implementation. In general, we recommend banks to reassess their entire IRRBB and CSRBB management and measurement framework based on the recent publication, with particular focus on the following aspects:
The updated Guidelines are primarily based on EBA’s 2018 Guidelines on the identification, management and measurement of IRRBB under internal systems. There are, however, two important aspects that have changed.
Firstly, in IRRBB measurement, banks should apply a five-year cap on the behavioural repricing maturity of certain NMDs3. Dependent on the (modelled) stickiness of banks’ NMD portfolios, this change could impact a bank’s measurement (e.g. value sensitivity) and management (e.g. hedging) perspective. In its recent press release, the EBA announced that it will closely scrutinise the application and effect of this cap.
Secondly, the criteria to identify whether an IMS is non-satisfactory are updated. In particular, two generic criteria are specified in the updated Guidelines:
In case competent authorities identify an IMS as non-satisfactory, they could require a bank to apply the SA for banks.
Assessment and monitoring of CSRBB
The assessment and monitoring of CSRBB is described extensively in the updated Guidelines, whereas it was only briefly mentioned in previous publications. We expect that the increased attention and guidance on this topic will provide one of the larger challenges for banks’ ALM risk departments over the coming years. Key topics for banks on the assessment and monitoring of CSRBB are related to:
Figure 2: Breakdown of interest rates, from chapter 5 of the new Guidelines on IRRBB and CSRBB.
Banks may be allowed (or required, in case of non-satisfactory IMS) to use the SA for IRRBB to calculate the impact of potential interest rate movements on both EVE and NII4. The SA for EVE closely resembles the methodology described in the standards on IRRBB published by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) in 20165, whereas the SA for NII is newly introduced in this RTS.
The SA for EVE and NII can be broken down into five generic calculation stages (see Figure 3)6:
Figure 3: The five calculation stages of the SA
The purpose of the SOT is to assess banks’ IRRBB vulnerabilities under a set of prescribed interest rate shock scenarios by measuring (and periodically reporting) the impact on EVE and NII under these scenarios7. In particular, banks that breach the impact thresholds (defined in the RTS on the SOT) may face supervisory measures such as: i) additional own funds requirements, ii) limitations on activities with excessive risks, or iii) prescribed modelling and parametric assumptions in the measurement of IRRBB.
The most notable changes coming from the RTS are:
NIIshock - NIIbaseline
___________________ > -2.5 %
Tier 1 capital
Other key policy choices and assumptions with respect to the NII SOT are:
Given recent macro-economic developments, e.g. increasing interest rates, increasing inflation and decreasing consumer confidence, sound measurement and management of banks’ exposures to interest rate – and credit spread movements becomes extra relevant. Over the coming period, the EBA will closely monitor the implementation of the updated Guidelines and RTSs1. Our team of Market Risk and ALM specialists from Deloitte understands the challenges banks are facing with regard to the implementation of the updated Guidelines and RTSs, and is keen to have a discussion.
1 Source: https://www.eba.europa.eu/eba-publishes-final-standards-and-guidelines-interest-rate-risk-arising-non-trading-book-activities
2 The Guidelines will apply from 30 June 2023, except for the part on CSRBB, which will apply from 31 December 2023. The RTS on the SA and the RTS on the SOT will enter into force on the twentieth day after publication in the Official Journal of the European Union.
3 See for more details article 111 of the updated Guidelines. Note that in the 2018 Guidelines the five-year cap is only applicable in the SOT, the updated Guidelines prescribe to additionally apply the cap as part of internal IRRBB measurement.
4 Furthermore, a simplified standardised approach (S-SA) is developed to be used for small and non-complex institutions, the S-SA has various simplifications compared to the SA and is at least as conservative.
5 Source: https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d368.htm
6 See for additional details the RTS on the SA: https://www.eba.europa.eu/regulation-and-policy/supervisory-review-and-evaluation-process-srep-and-pillar-2/regulatory-technical-standards-irrbb-standardised-approach
7 For the EVE SOT, banks should calculate and report the EVE impact under six interest rate shock scenarios prescribed in the RTS on the SOT (following the methodology described in the standards on IRRBB by the BCBS). And for the NII SOT, banks should calculate and report the NII impact under two prescribed interest rate shock scenarios.
8 The EBA published an Opinion in response to the EU Commission’s amendments relating to the draft RTS on the SOT on April 26th. As part of this Opinion, the EBA suggests amendments to its initial draft RTS. Specifically, the EBA proposes to amend the level of the threshold, i.e. replacing the original level of 2.5% of Tier 1 capital with a level of 5% of Tier 1 capital.