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WA Index

Issue 228 | September 2024

Welcome to the 228th edition of the Deloitte WA Index, a monthly review of
Western Australian stocks and indices.

The aggregate market capitalisation of Western Australian listed companies decreased by 0.9% during the month of August to close at $345.9 billion on the back of depressed commodity prices and a pessimistic outlook for steel production – impacting WA’s iron producers.

More broadly, the All Ordinaries and FTSE 100 traded flat over the month, while the Nikkei closed down 1.2% following intriguing movements on the back of yen carry trades being rapidly unwound. The S&P 500 increased 2.3%; following a positive US reporting season and expectations of a September rate cut by the Fed. 

Download the list of WA’s top 100 listed companies, as of 31 August 2024, explore the sections below, and if you do not currently receive our WA Index, please register to be added to our distribution list.

Commodity review

LNG prices increased 12% for the month of August from US$12.5 to US$14 per MMBtu. The increase was largely underpinned by gains in Europe following supply disruptions. North-east Asian LNG demand remaining tepid despite hot weather in much of the region, despite South Korea which is also facing unplanned nuclear outages. Supply concerns buoyed prices at the end of the month; with unplanned downtime across several suppliers, including Australia’s own Ichthys. 

Rare Earth Elements (Praseodymium Neodymium Alloy) saw a 10% movement during August to close at $69,618/t. Off the back of supply chain bifurcation and resource holders benefitting from government investment in downstream and upstream supply. Chinese production and demand continues to be the needle of truth in prices, with changes in quota’s providing a foundation for price support during the month.

Zinc experienced a 9% increase for August closing at $2,847/t. Chinese smelters adjusted planned maintenance, postponing new capacity to preserve margins in a relatively low-priced zinc (and steel) environment. Reductions in this future capacity growth suggesting the structural surplus in zinc could reduce, leading prices higher during the month. 

Aluminium prices increased 9% for the month of August to US$2,424/t. The increase is attributed to ongoing supply chain constraints and a rise in demand. Aluminium prices have been supported by curbed production in Chinese smelting regions often aimed at easing the strain on the power grid; given the power intensity of aluminium production. 

Coking Coal prices fell 12% in August to a closing price of US$226/t. Steel profitability is a key factor of the fall with demand declines following reports only 4% of China’s steel mills were profitable in August. The outlook for steel production continues to waver, as Chinese demand slows.

 Performance of WA Index and Global indices

Top 20 performers of the month: 

Westgold Resources Limited (ASX:WGX) saw its market capitalisation increase 131.6% over August following completion of the Westgold/Karora merger, with Westgold shares also commencing trading on the TSX as part of the merger conditions from 6 August 2024. The month yielded positive exploration results with a maiden Reserve at Bluebird-South Junction of 3.0Mt @ 2.7g/t for 277koz and anticipation for production from South Junction to commence. The legacy-Karora asset, Beta Hunt, also yielded strong intersections from its Fletcher zone – with additional rigs deployed to accelerate the company’s drilling program.

Ramelius Resources Limited (ASX: RMS) saw a 14.7% increase in market capitalization during the month. The increase came after the announcement of a fully franked 5 cent dividend – following an impressive annual result headlined by EBITDA of A$451.4 million. Leverage to the gold price continues to benefit Ramelius, particularly as it reaps the benefits of the high-grade Penny underground.

Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX: LYC) market capitalisation increased 12.4% during the month, attributed to several positive developments and strategic initiatives announced by the company, as well as improvements in Rare Earth Elements (REE) prices. At Mt Weld an updated Mineral Resources and Ore Reserve statement was released on 5 August 2024, which included a 92% increase in mineral resources and a 63% increase in Mt Weld Ore Reserves. Further, the full year results announcement shed light on the continued progress of construction of the Kalgoorlie processing plant, and transition to heavy rare earth processing in Malaysia.

The Top 100 performers of this month were:

PYC Therapeutics Limited (ASX:PYC) saw its market capitalisation grow 48.9% during the month of August. This growth was driven by PYC announcing that it had regulatory approval to commence human trials of PYC-001, a trial of a disease-modifying drug for Autosomal Dominant Optic Atrophy (ADOA) with an addressable market worth over $2 billion per year. Furthermore, it was confirmed the American Food and Drug Administration   had granted a rare pediatric disease designation to PYC-001.

Pantoro Limited (ASX:PNR) experienced market capitalisation growth of 45.3% during August, benefiting from the run in gold prices. At Diggers & Dealers this month, Pantoro outlined plans for continued development of its Norseman processing plant, and prospectivity of the area to future resource growth, in particular the Norseman Mainfield. Pantoro outlined that the ore reserve at Norseman has more than doubled expectations within two years and outlined plans to continue exploration in the areas previously overlooked.

Latin Resources Limited (ASX:LRS) saw its market capitalisation climb 33.3%. This growth was the result of Pilbara Minerals announcing a binding scheme implementation agreement with Latin Resources to acquire 100% of LRS’ shares at an implied value of A$0.20. In an underperforming lithium sector this represents a counter-cyclical acquisition. The acquisition represents a diversification of Pilbara Minerals’ current Pilgangoora operations into a new jurisdiction, and development project. Latin’s Brazilian project provides geographic proximity take advantage of exposure to the growing North American and European battery markets. 

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