In April, the commodity market experienced cooling across a significant number of commodities. Key commodities that experienced an increase in prices were silver, uranium, lead, nickel, crude oil, and tin. Platinum was the standout performer for April, displaying a 9% increase in price. Commodities such as iron ore, LNG, coal, and zinc experienced falls during the month.
LNG
LNG prices fell 15% throughout the month of April, closing the month at US$12/MMBtu. Demand from Europe and East Asia have weakened, particularly in South Korea and Japan. High inventory levels in South Korea and Japan have put downward pressure on LNG spot prices, which has seen buyers requesting deliveries of LNG cargo to be staggered to manage surplus. Higher nuclear power generation in both countries furthered this pressure by reducing reliance on LNG imports.
Platinum
Platinum prices increased by 9% during April, to US$1,074/oz. The platinum market is currently facing a deficit after two years of surplus which is anticipated to persist for several years. Operational and power supply challenges have limited the growth of platinum supply. A surge in industrial demand has placed upwards pressure on prices, particularly from the auto sector where palladium is being replaced with cheaper platinum.
Iron Ore
The spot price of Iron Ore has tumbled to a four-month low at US$106/T as demand for steel in China is weaker than expected. This represents a 17% decline during the month. Construction in China, which accounts for two-thirds of Chinese steel, has experienced sharp falls in project approvals. Furthermore, apartment construction activity has significantly slowed down, a consequence of China cutting developers off from dollar-bond financing.
Uranium
Uranium prices increased by 3% during April to US$52/LB, demonstrating resilience amongst other commodities. A commodity that typically displays low correlation to major asset classes, it experienced increased purchasing activity from utilities and new contracts with exploration programs. The ongoing Russian-Ukraine conflict has also seen Western suppliers experiencing new demand from markets previously serviced by Russia.
Lithium carbonate
Demand for lithium has been volatile – April experienced an average 5% decrease in price, closing at US$54/KG at the end of the month. The lithium spot price tumbled 72% in January, after China curbed subsidies for electric vehicles. This slump continued throughout the first quarter until mid-April. However, the price regained some ground during the last week of April.
Gold
On average, the price of gold experienced very minimal gains in April, a period that follows price surges because of lower treasury yields and a weaker US dollar. Data from the United States indicated that inflation remains at high levels, which could justify the need for further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. This growing expectation of interest rate hikes has caused gold prices to waver, offsetting the gains experienced in early April.