Actuaries are increasingly recognised as playing a critical role in supporting a fair, equitable and orderly transition as strategic advisers who:
Sensitivity and scenario testing – framework for actuaries.
As the Australian Sustainability Reporting Standards (ASRS) begin to become effective, insurers are required to evolve and develop their modelling processes to incorporate the impacts of varying levels of climate warming. Traditional business planning typically spans 3-5 years for most insurance companies, but with these new standards coming into play, these periods will need to stretch further (short, medium and long term) and incorporate sensitivities and scenarios that consider varying climate warming levels. This extension of modelling prompts an array of questions:
In this blog, we'll set out a high-level framework for scenario testing under both the ASRS and Corporations Act 2001 requirements and key actuarial considerations for Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) readiness. This framework is as below:
Challenges to the framework
While this framework provides a structured approach to integrating climate-related risks and opportunities into actuarial functions, the process is not without its challenges and complexities.
It is key for actuaries to form part of the climate risk working groups early on to ensure the related workstreams within the entity are aligned, and the required information for disclosure purposes are planned and built-in in a timely manner.