The article discusses the growing trend of sanctions evasion by highlighting key methodologies used, before exploring how such risks can be mitigated.
In our first blog of the series, we considered how the last year has dramatically changed the sanctions landscape, and the challenges it presents to business and financial institutions (FIs). With the challenge of meeting sanctions obligations heightened, naturally the vulnerability to malicious acts of sanctions evasions has also grown. However, many might argue the risk of evasion has always been prevalent, with inadequate controls readily exploited by those looking to circumnavigate the regulations.
This blog will consider the growing trends of sanctions evasion, with a particular focus on Russia and North Korea, by highlighting key methodologies that are being used, before providing guidance on how such risks can potentially be mitigated.
Russian evasion:
Prior to the recent sanctions, on a daily basis, Russian FIs conducted approximately $46 billion worth of foreign exchange (FX) transactions globally, 80 percent of which were in U.S. dollars. As the sanctions continue to impact Russia, alternate channels and instruments may be used to try and circumvent them to maintain this activity.
As highlighted by Organized Crime and Corruption Reporting Project (OCCRP), Russia already has a track record of sanctions. The OCCRP’s report into the ‘Global Laundromat’ scheme showed how Russian money was filtered into Western FIs through the use of shell companies to ‘loan’ money to each other. These companies then defaulted on this large fictitious debt. Corrupt judges in Moldova authenticated the debt – with billions transferred to Moldova and the Baltics via a bank in Latvia. Deutsche Bank was then used to launder the money via its corresponding banking network – effectively allowing illegal Russian payments to be funneled to the US, the European Union and Asia, with current estimates of the money moved ranging from $20bn to $80bn USD.
The above example provides insight into the potential methodologies being employed to circumnavigate the latest set of western restrictions. These methodologies include:
North Korea evasion:
A recent paper from the Wolfsberg group has investigated North Korea’s long history of deceptive practices and highlighted some of the key challenges and methodologies used. These include:
Additionally, a report published earlier this year, by the Royal United Services Institute in London (RUSI), analysed 87 cases of North Korean sanctions evasion and found common use of regulatory ‘blind spots. The report highlighted that international standards often overlook activities related to “designated non-financial business and professions”. These included North Korea’s attempts to procure and sell precious metals and stones, its global property investments, and in one case its use of a casino “to obfuscate the traceability of funds”.
Responding to the challenge:
Considering the scale, severity and sophistication of evasion being conducted, FIs need to be vigilant and take proactive measures to identify transaction activity that may be indicative of attempts to circumvent regulations. Analytics is a key battleground for combatting evasion. FIs should consider rulesets that try to identify increases in the value and volume of activity across the following elements:
Furthermore, when considering the common methodologies, there are specific behaviour that FIs can identify to spot potential evasion.
Furthermore, FIs should consider expanding the scope of their investigation by working collectively to share data insights. These Public-Private and Private-Private information sharing relationships are an emerging tool that encourages governments and FIs to share case studies and transaction patterns through established intelligence exchange mechanisms. This helps build a more holistic picture of activity by increasing the ability to detect trends or patterns which could denote sanctions evasion. To supplement this, FIs should consider 3rd party data providers who can offer a broad range of bespoke data that can help identify sanctioned activity. This data should include control and ownership structures of sanctioned entities or geographical locations such as cities, towns, regions, or ports within sanctioned jurisdictions.
Conclusion:
Evasion will happen. As geo-political rifts around the world continue to grow, the scope of sanctions will escalate in parallel. Businesses and FIs must ensure they take proactive measures to prevent their services and products from becoming instruments of evasion or consequently, face the financial and reputational repercussions. Working cohesively, utilizing expanded data insights, and developing detection capabilities through bespoke analytics are some of the more advanced measures that can be taken as part of a wider and robust sanctions compliance framework to prevent endemic evasion, which could materialize into real world consequences if left unchecked.