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ME PoV Issue 50

How AI is rewriting private equity value creation in the Gulf

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Across the GCC, companies are transitioning from a commercial focus on returns (such as multiple expansion and financial engineering) towards operational and digital transformation.

MENA mergers and acquisitions (M&A) reached a record US$193 billion of announced value in 2025, led by sovereign investors such as Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund (PIF), Mubadala, and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA). Yet for many regional firms, realizing the full value of these deals can feel elusive.

The practical question for a general partner is not whether AI matters, but where and how it can be applied throughout the value-creation process.

By the numbers

84%

of more than 3,000 senior executives said they plan to increase overall AI spending in the year ahead

77%

of senior leaders in the UAE report meaningful productivity gains from AI

92%

expect agentic AI to deliver measurable returns within two years

From financial engineering to operational alpha

Operational improvements are key levers of portfolio value creation and, increasingly, leverage Artificial Intelligence (AI) and digital transformation to drive growth, improve efficiency, strengthen differentiation, and manage risk.

Identify, evaluate, quantify: AI across the value creation lifecycle

Used well, AI can span the entire lifecycle. From identifying opportunities to demonstrating value at exit. Underpinned by centralized, secure, and verified corporate date.

Five levers, made measurable

Deloitte's analysis of value creation work across sectors points to five practical, AI-enabled levers:

  1. Building AI-ready talent
  2. Growing revenue through predictive analytics
  3. Expanding margin through automation
  4. Differentiating through data and new business models
  5. Protecting the asset through cyber and risk management.

Each can be instrumented and measured.

The Gulf is moving fast

What distinguishes the region is the speed at which capital, policy, and technology are converging, and the willingness of its largest investors to transform their own operating models.

What general partners should do now

The strategic implication is not to spend the most on AI, but to build the model that turns it into value. Four moves stand out. Build the data foundation first, since governed, accessible data is the binding constraint on everything that follows. Own the intelligence layer by codifying the proprietary decision logic of each portfolio company into governed models that the business controls. Redesign operating models for autonomy rather than retrofitting AI agents onto human-shaped workflows. And deploy from proven blueprints, scaling validated use cases across the portfolio instead of financing endless pilots.

By Zaid Selman, Director, Value Creation Services, Deloitte Middle East

1. LSEG Deals Intelligence — MENA M&A 2025(record US$193.1bn announced value, +154% yearon year), reported via A&O Shearman, “Sovereignwealth funds boost Middle East M&A growth,”2026. https://www.aoshearman.com/en/insights/global-ma-insights/middle-eastern-sovereignwealth-funds-boost-regional-ma.

2. Deloitte, “Unleashing Portfolio Potential: Five AI Focused Levers for Private Equity Value Creation,”February 2026 (levers, documented outcomes and ~22–25% AI-readiness figures). https://www.deloitte.com/ca/en/services/consulting/perspectives/unleashing-portfolio-potentialfive-ai-focused-levers-for-private-equity-valuecreation.html.

3. Deloitte AI Institute, “State of AI in the Enterprise” (84% of surveyed executives plan to increase AIspending in the next fiscal year). https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/what-we-do/capabilities/applied-artificial-intelligence/content/state-of-aiin-the-enterprise.html.

4. UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD),“Technology and Innovation Report 2025:Inclusive AI for Development” — global AI market projected to rise from US$189bn (2023) to US$4.8trillion by 2033. https://unctad.org/news/aimarket-projected-hit-48-trillion-2033-emergingdominant-frontier-technology.

5. The National/WAM (Emirates News Agency)— Gulf Capital assets under management(~US$2.4bn) and plan to double assets by 2028,2024–2025. https://www.wam.ae/en/article/b2xmn3g-gulf-capital-aima-increase-its-assetsunder

6. IBM, “Scaling without headcount: How GCC investors are redefining value creation through AI,” April 2026 (Operational Alpha;10–25% EBITDA; Riyadh Air AI-native airline; UAE productivity data; SDAIA). https://www.ibm.com/think/perspectives/gcc-investors-redefiningvalue-creation-through-ai.Background research

7. Investcorp, “Investcorp announces launch of AIInvestment Framework,” June 2026; GCC BusinessNews, 2026. https://www.investcorp.com/investcorp-announces-launch-of-ai-investmentframework/.

8. Mubadala & MGX, “AI to Revolutionize Investment Strategies,” 2025; DealStreetAsia coverage of MGX, 2025. https://www.mubadala.com/en/news/ai-to-revolutionize-investment-strategiesmubadala-and-mgx-report.

9. The National, “Mubadala asset base grows to $326 bn on AI and future-focused investments,” May 2025. https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/2025/05/08/mubadala-asset-basegrows-on-back-of-ai-and-future-focusedinvestments/.

10. Saudi government sources: Public Investment Fund/Alat technology-investment program; Saudi Data & AI Authority (SDAIA); Vision 2030.https://sdaia.gov.sa/en/.

11. Deloitte, “Deloitte Private Equity value creation capability” and “Unlocking growth catalysts”— on the shift from multiple expansion and financial engineering to operational and digital value creation. https://www.deloitte.com/global/en/Industries/financial-services/perspectives/unlocking-growth-catalysts.html.

An asset's capacity to support intelligent operations, including data, governance, and workflows, is increasingly becoming a determinant of its valuation.

Zaid Selman | Director | Value Creation Services

               

Read the full issue

This article is featured in ME PoV Issue 50. Read the full issue for more perspectives on what's shaping the Middle East.

               

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