Skip to main content

Understanding human behavior in designing a future of health

Bill Fera, MD
Casey Korba
Maulesh Shukla

In the future of health—where data and technology continue to advance exponentially—will human behavior still prevent us from becoming a healthier society? How can we conquer the age-old problem of behavior change both with, and in spite of, technology?

Introduction

ALL around us, technology is making exponential advances in science and medicine. But despite these breakthroughs—in pharmaceuticals, diagnostics, precision medicine, and health care delivery—seven out of 10 Americans are still expected to die from chronic disease.1

Though research suggests that many chronic diseases are preventable with better health behavior, the structure, pace, and inequities of society make health-damaging behavior easy. We overeat and don’t get enough exercise. Our brains naturally favor foods with high levels of salt, fat, and sugar. We know we shouldn’t have that extra glass of wine or binge-watch our favorite show, and we don’t get enough sleep. We spend more time on social media than with friends and family.2

It is clear we need to change our behavior. But behavior change is hard, very hard, and the cycle continues (figure 1).3

We engage in behaviors that are detrimental to our current and future well-being because we are human and irrational—but predictably irrational.4 Therefore, life sciences and health care organizations could benefit from a better psychosocial understanding of patients/consumers and the environmental and social barriers that keep people from being healthy. Many technology companies are already mastering consumer behavior and are moving into health care.5

Health care and life sciences organizations should deliver a health care experience that is not only more precise—through the use of data and technology—but also more personalized. By making that experience more human, tailored to an individual’s specific needs, and having an empathetic understanding of the challenges they face, we can begin to move society toward a culture of wellness and prevention.6

The imperative for health care stakeholders lies in helping consumers to:

  • See the big picture and gain a holistic view of their health. A holistic view identifies the impact that daily choices have on well-being and can help foster better decisions—such as choosing to go to bed, instead of staying up for one more episode of a TV show.
  • Make the big picture small and build self-efficacy. Even when motivated, changing something like diet or physical activity can seem overwhelming. Helping people determine where to start can be the difference between action and inaction. Setting smaller goals that are attainable can be easy wins that increase self-confidence and fuel greater and lasting change.
  • Own their behavior and make change sustainable. We tend toward optimism and overconfidence. Helping people be more realistic about their behavior and abilities sets them up for more sustainable actions.

COVID-19, a catalyst for change, including behavior change

The COVID-19 global health crisis is accelerating dramatic change.7 In addition to the devastating toll of the disease, the pandemic is changing the way we work and live. The event has been a catalyst for a future of health that otherwise might have taken years to attain,8 while at the same time, it is highlighting weaknesses in the system and diminishing consumer trust.9

Telemedicine is experiencing a record rate of adoption,10 and consumers are actively controlling their care through apps and websites.11 Recent Deloitte research shows consumers are taking charge more than ever before,12 and almost all clinical leaders (98%), have implemented or plan to implement virtual health practices for some or all nonprocedural visits.13 Some clinicians are specifically asking for training on how to conduct virtual visits and interact with patients.14

The pandemic is also uncovering serious deficiencies in our existing systems,15 and consumer attitudes and behaviors have been the focus of contentious debate.16 Without a vaccine or cure, the best defense is calling for worldwide behavior change,17 including sheltering in place, frequent hand-washing, social distancing, and wearing masks.18

Life has become a series of risk calculations.19 Those with comorbidities have a higher risk of becoming severe and fatal cases of COVID-19. Studies show hypertension to be more prevalent in those with severe cases, and diabetes more prevalent among fatal cases.20 In addition to older adults and minorities, Hispanic, non-Hispanic Black, and non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaskan Native children under 21 have been disproportionately affected by COVID-19, representing 78% of fatalities, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).21

In addition, governments anticipate a wave of mental and behavioral health issues could be on the horizon, including depression, substance abuse, post-traumatic stress disorder, and suicide.22

Show more

Chronic disease and health care costs are rising

Most health care professionals are aware of the daunting statistics. Four out of 10 US adults have two or more chronic health conditions, and chronic disease for some racial and ethnic minority groups can be more common or severe (figure 2).23 As the population ages, the number of elderly with comorbidities is growing quickly24 as is the number of young people diagnosed with diabetes25 and heart disease.26

Health care costs are also rising, and employers are shifting more health care expenses to employees, often through high-deductible plans (figure 3).28 By 2026, the cost of individual health care is expected to top US$16,000 per year. This individual total represents the amount everyone would pay into the health care system, including patients, the government, and private health insurance.29

Because these high health care costs aren’t sustainable and aren’t always associated with better outcomes, we are seeing a shift toward value-based care. Instead of fee-for-service payment models that tend to incentivize fragmented, procedural care, value-based care places more emphasis on improving outcomes, expanding access to care, optimizing costs, and improving efficiencies.30

Driving real health outcomes requires an understanding of a patient’s health holistically, including the factors that shape their behavior. Insurers and government are working on incentives for improving chronic disease management for beneficiaries, and some clinicians find that they can help coordinate chronic disease management more effectively with the involvement of a social worker, behavioral therapist, or a nutritionist.31

There is much work to be done, but more engaged consumers and interoperable data may provide the impetus for health care stakeholders to take a closer look at behavior change models and coordinated care. Companies innovative enough to test novel approaches to behavior change can provide an evidence base that paves the way to a supportive health care system.

 

Behavior is the foundation of health

Despite an increase in per capita health care spending,40 chronic disease continues to be the result of poor health behaviors. Research suggests that if behavior-related risk factors were eliminated, at least 80% of all heart disease, diabetes, and stroke could be prevented as could more than 40% of US cancer cases and deaths.41 Controlling these five health-related behaviors is key:

  1. No smoking
  2. Regular physical activity
  3. Limited alcohol consumption
  4. Body weight
  5. Sufficient sleep42

“Human behavior is the final common pathway for the application of nearly every advance in medicine.”

—Mitesh Patel, M.D., director, Penn Medicine Nudge Unit43

Adopting a new approach, nuanced and adaptable behavior change

Though health behavior change is nearly guaranteed to improve health, knowing so doesn’t necessarily make it easy to change and sustain. That’s where the work of behavioral scientists can help. Behavioral science combines insights from psychology, anthropology, economics, and neuroscience to explain how people choose to act under certain circumstances.44

While more than 300 behavioral teams have emerged over the last 10 years to provide insights for governments, businesses, and other organizations,45 health care is just starting to catch on to the world of behavioral science.46 New nontraditional care providers, like Walmart and Amazon, have entered health care and have a wealth of consumer behavior knowledge.

Challenges and barriers to behavior change

Behavior and lifestyle choices are heavily influenced by individual, environmental/structural, and social/cultural factors.47 Once we identify these challenges and understand how they can influence behavior, tools can be designed to work with, rather than against, human nature for healthy behavior change.48

Individual factors

In today’s world, people have more information than they can process, and when making decisions, many choose the quickest and easiest solution. Study after study demonstrates people opt for immediate gains over future rewards.49 This tendency, known as temporal discounting, may be offset by designing solutions that offer smaller rewards in the near term, rather than promising a larger reward in the distant future.50

Environmental and structural factors

The structure of our environment shapes our behavior and our health. It’s difficult to expect people who live in food deserts and don’t have access to nutritious food to eat more fresh fruit and vegetables or to ask people to engage in telehealth without internet access or tools. The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) designates food deserts as low-income neighborhoods that lack supermarkets and grocery stores.51

Even when following the same prescribed diet, health outcomes may be worse for people of lower socioeconomic status. In a recent study of the Mediterranean diet in Italy, researchers observed no benefits in a less educated, lower-income group, while cardiovascular risk factors were lowered in the more educated, higher-income group. This group had access to better quality and variety of fruits and vegetables and were more knowledgeable about and employed healthier cooking methods.52

Food is science, and nutrition is not universal knowledge

Many may not know that cooking can either increase or decrease the bioavailability of some nutrients or that meal composition matters. Certain foods with fat-soluble vitamins are more easily absorbed if eaten with fats. Legumes, which are rich in protein and fiber, contain lectins that can impair the absorption of iron, zinc, and calcium in other foods if eaten during the same meal.53 Choosing canned fruits and vegetables over fresh produce can add salt, sugar, and additives that carry health risks of their own.54

Even physicians admit their training in nutrition is limited. The American College of Preventative Medicine believes that greater success in preventing chronic disease will happen when lifestyle medicine (LM) education starts in medical school.55 There is an urgent need to create and implement comprehensive LM education for health professionals, at all levels of training.56

Show more

Cultural and social factors

In the United States, our modern culture defaults to unhealthy behaviors. We are conditioned to seek instant gratification that is fueled by technology.57 Our work culture is always “on” and connected. Research shows that almost two-thirds of US employees engage in unhealthy behaviors as a result of work stress.58 This has been exacerbated during the pandemic as many more people are working from home and struggle to balance work with disruptions to our way of life.59

Behavioralist Dan Ariely says that our work culture needs to change to value meaning and a long-term form of happiness.60 Lack of meaning is a psychosocial determinant of chronic disease.61 We can create more meaning when we treat people as useful and contributing. Too often, employees are asked to do tasks that are futile.62 We produce much more value when we can decide how best to accomplish our work63 and have a shared sense of purpose.64

“Understanding and cultivating our sense of purpose helps us find a deeper, more meaningful connection to the work that we do and how that work impacts the organization, its people, and our greater society.”

Jen Fisher, director, Deloitte’s chief well-being officer

Cultural influences in a pandemic

Culture may affect why one patient seeks treatment or complies with medical approaches, and another may not.65 Cultural norms may also play an important role in the way a country approaches a public health crisis like the coronavirus. Resistance to mask-wearing in the United States contrasts with behavior in South Korea, where masks are an accepted protocol for dealing with a cold or flu and are becoming a fashion statement. When COVID-19 hit, mask adoption by South Koreans was widespread even before masks were required.66

Show more

Supportive technology for healthy behavior

According to Deloitte’s 2020 US Health Care Consumer Survey, 42% of US consumers said they use tools to measure fitness and track health-improvement goals.67 Gen Z and millennials are more likely to believe trackers can change their behavior,68 and nearly two-thirds of those aged 14 to 22 report using health-related apps.69 In 2020, the top apps by revenue include those for calorie counting, meditation, and tracking exercise.70

But technology alone does not work. For technology to be an effective part of behavior change, it should include provider and social support or incentives.

Provider-supported technology, prescribing health and fitness apps

Increased access to telehealth and remote monitoring as a result of the pandemic is proving valuable to consumers.71 These technologies have the ability to alter patient behavior, so that patients can set healthy habits that stick.72

Fitness and mHealth apps prescribed by a provider are also more effective. They were found to have 30-day retention rates 30% and 10% above average, respectively.73 Without provider or social support, many health and fitness apps are quickly abandoned. In 2018, almost 85% of mHealth apps had less than 10,000 active users; only the top 7% reported more than 50,000 users.74

Social incentives boost activity levels for wearable technology

Deloitte and the Perelman School of Medicine recently conducted a study on 602 overweight and obese employees utilizing wearable fitness trackers. The trial, Social Incentives to Encourage Physical Activity and Understand Predictors (STEP UP), measured the effects of three different types of social incentives as well as gamification on increasing physical activity.75

  • The supportive arm asked participants to identify a friend or family member who was encouraged to support the participant in their progress during the study. They received weekly reports on the participant’s performance, including the number of points earned and level achieved.
  • The collaborative arm placed participants into teams of three and randomly selected a member each day to represent the team through their step activity. If this individual met the goal, the whole team was awarded points. The team lost points if the team member failed to meet the activity goal.
  • The competitive arm had the highest engagement and most sustained improvement. It placed participants into groups of three and used a weekly leaderboard email to rank participants and foster competition in the group.76

The STEP UP study found that all three groups with social incentives achieved more physical activity than the control group. This research illustrates how using data (progress tracking) and behavioral science (social incentives) together can impact change. These strategies may be used to encourage other desired behaviors, such as healthy eating or improved medication adherence.77

Moving to the future of health for behavior

A shift is happening gradually, but it can have a tremendous impact on traditional health care players. In the future of health, patients will likely own their data, more easily share it with third parties,78 and use it to play a central role in health care decision-making. Start-ups are already making it possible for individuals to sell their health data for clinical research.79

With shared information and a more holistic picture of a person’s health, technology is identifying health risks early and helping move the focus to well-being and prevention, rather than treatment. Technology can also enable more precision engagement and personalized health experiences as a result of accessible data and AI.

But more data and technology in the hands of nonclinical decision-makers could lead to bad decisions. Consumers will likely need more support to interpret health data and guide their decision-making as well as help to develop systems and skills that can change their unhealthy behaviors.

Addressing decision-making failures

Solving the reality-intention gap in decision-making

How do people make decisions? Nobel laureate and behavioral economist Daniel Kahneman in his popular book, Thinking, Fast and Slow, says people think and make decisions based on two systems:

  • "System 1," which is fast, instinctive, and emotional
  • “System 2," which is slow, more deliberate, and rational80

Kahneman says that a whopping 98% of our thinking is System 1 thinking.81 Thinking (mostly) fast leads to “reality-intention gaps,” according to Jason Riis, chief behavioral scientist of Behavioralize, who studied under Kahneman. Reality-intention gaps are misperceptions of the world that create inconsistencies between reality and our intentions to thrive.

Riis says that bridging these gaps is not easy, but progress is possible. Usually, it requires more than giving people “better information,” and instead, internalizing some new concepts that change the way we make inferences and judgments. Developing a “growth mindset” is an example of such a change.

Individuals should understand both why a change needs to be made and how to make that change.82 With a growth mindset, individuals also believe that the potential for change is possible, and they work harder to change unhealthy behaviors.83 By keeping track of small wins, these individuals may gain a healthy sense of pride for their accomplishments and motivation for the long term.84

Deloitte recently conducted a Critical Thinking and Future of Health Survey that found that health consumers are overconfident and underestimate how often they make critical-thinking errors (figure 4). Only 43% of young consumers reported making critical-thinking errors daily or weekly. This seems unlikely considering the frequency of risky behaviors (e.g., not wearing masks during the pandemic, dangerous driving, eating poorly, etc.).

Given the number of choices people face, it is hard to imagine anyone could go a day without making a critical-thinking error. Yet few consumers see it this way. People think others are more prone to error than they are (with 53% suggesting others make errors daily or weekly), another form of overconfidence. Interestingly, overconfidence was even higher for older participants, with only 20% estimating they often make critical-thinking errors.

Health systems should understand consumer decision-making beliefs and processes. To prevent critical-thinking failures, providers should find ways to support better reasoning and self-reflection—providing “better information” will not likely be enough.

When asked about worries related to future health problems, survey participants were more frequently concerned about outcomes of disease—such as health expenses and lifestyle limitations—rather than the future risk of having the disease itself. This finding offers a practical suggestion for patient materials that aim to associate present health behaviors with future health risks. Such materials may have a greater impact if future risks are described in outcomes that people can more easily imagine and relate to, such as not being able to work or enjoy their typical activities.

In helping people with decision-making and self-reflection, Riis suggests asking more insightful questions and emphasizing health outcomes versus future disease risk. This shift can better inform health and wellness interventions. It may also help consumers make better inferences and self-reflect on their beliefs and behaviors.

In addition, providers should consider asking questions about patients’ perceptions of health and their future self. While the vast majority of patients have been asked if they smoke, drink, and are physically active, very few report being asked about their future health or related worries (Figure 5). Indeed, more people have been asked (by a provider) about their favorite TV show or movie (22%) than about how healthy they think they will be at age 50 (15%).

Understanding bias

In addition to critical-thinking errors, health consumers tend to approach decision-making through cognitive biases that are typically unconscious and automatic. For example, we may think we understand something when all we have is general familiarity. We experience a knowledge illusion, says Riis. We may think we know what’s risky and what isn’t, and we may be wrong.

Many people are also in denial.85 They don’t see themselves as a number in the daunting statistics for chronic disease.86 “Not me,” they believe. This optimism bias keeps individuals from taking preventative measures for their health.87 Even when faced with a diagnosis, many patients think they are healthier than they really are.88

Decisions may also be faulty because they are based on preexisting beliefs. With confirmation bias, people only look for information that confirms what they already know.89 More than 100 different types of cognitive bias can prevent us from making good decisions.90

Health consumers will likely need help addressing their individual biases and decision-making failures. Having their data is not enough. They should work with providers who can lend their expertise and support in making sense of that data and their behaviors.

Designing a health care experience for human behavior change

Developing an empathetic health care experience

Humans thrive on empathy,91 and empathy is becoming central to chronic disease management and health care delivery.92 Clinical empathy is an intellectual understanding of the emotions of others and part of patient-centered communication93 to understand individual, cultural, environmental, and social factors, such as social determinants of health (SDOH).

Empathizing with patients94 and genuinely caring for their experience and well-being builds trust.95 According to Deloitte’s 2020 Survey of US Health Care consumers, a trusted clinician relationship remains paramount.96 Patients who trust their clinicians are more likely to be honest, less defensive, and follow treatment plans for lifestyle changes.97

“Empathy and compassion have been shown to change physiology, reduce pain and mortality, increase adherence, and reduce health care costs. Empathy is the cornerstone of creating ‘therapeutic alliances’ between the health care team and patients.”

Summer Knight MD, MBA, managing director, Deloitte

If we want to build a more human health care experience, health care professionals will need training to become more empathetic clinicians. Interestingly, Deloitte research found that US physicians want this type of training.98 Empathy is also becoming part of medical school training and continuing education99 and may even become a factor in medical school admissions.100

Reimagining primary care

Experts believe primary care should be redesigned to give equal attention to physical and behavioral health. To focus efforts on health promotion and disease prevention, they also suggest moving wellness into the primary care setting.101

However, a lack of confidence in their ability to offer lifestyle counseling hinders some clinicians, and many feel they are stretched too thin. Primary care physicians (PCPs) may be better served by a health care delivery model that is team-centric and includes:

  • Physicians trained in lifestyle medicine
  • Health care coaches
  • Psychologists102

Some experts suggest behavioral professionals should co-lead the primary care team and their self-care expertise can be a bedrock for expanding primary care services.103 Others suggest placing the community health worker—not the PCP—at the center of the care team to address social determinants that drive health outcomes.104

Using adaptable technology to enable health behavior change

In the next decade of consumer-driven health care, life science and health care organizations will likely need a nuanced and adaptable approach to behavior change that can address consumers’ needs in a personalized way.105 Making technology adaptable means creating microinterventions tailored to individuals, employing behavioral archetypes, and leveraging accessible data and AI to personalize engagement. Designing technology that can meet the customer wherever they are–and in a way that they prefer–can be a key to behavior change.

Creating microinterventions tailored to individuals

One key to successful behavior change is developing habits that make change easier. Productive habits have specific goals and are measurable.106 Because habit change is a process, succeeding with smaller goals along the way aids consistency. Health care stakeholders can help guide patients through the process by finding the right microintervention for each patient.107

In Tiny Habits: The Small Changes that Change Everything, Stanford behavioralist B. J. Fogg says that small changes can lead to bigger change. By making behavior changes really small, they become easier to do and are automatic.108

Fogg suggests tying a new behavior to an existing one. You may decide to floss just one tooth right after washing your face in the morning. Fogg finds that people may start with one tooth, but quickly start flossing more.109 Another example is turning off your phone right after you open the door to your home after work. By making this action automatic, it becomes easier to take a break from technology and focus on more meaningful things, like family or exercise.110

Small changes are easy to instigate with an alert and are ripe for technology-based interventions that are similar to consumer-based personalized marketing systems. Making healthy choices easy is the foundation to an effective nudging system.

Nudging through environmental changes is another type of microintervention. Healthy choices can be presented in a way that makes them easy and automatic (if not the default), reducing consumer effort when adopting healthier behaviors. Research shows that making a relatively subtle change to the food environment (i.e., presenting the salad separately from unhealthier foods) has a positive impact on food choice.111

Sensing technology that meets consumers wherever they are

Chronic disease management is becoming more connected via sensors, telehealth, and remote patient monitoring.112 In the future of health, more consumers will likely use smart personal and medical devices and seamless, invisible platforms to help manage their health and wellness, wherever they may be.113

Passive data analysis on these sensors, including on mobile health technologies, can yield insights into consumer patterns that affect health. It may also be the easiest way to insert a nudge (e.g., channel, timing, and message).

Cityblock brings adaptable technology and Neighborhood Hubs to underserved communities

Cityblock delivers primary care, behavioral health, chronic disease management, and other health services under one umbrella to patients in underserved neighborhoods. The startup addresses social determinants of health, such as transportation, housing, and access to healthy food.114

Cityblock’s technology platform, Commons, allows for all members of a patient’s care team to be aware of an individual’s health status and events. Technology is also used to empower people to have a role in their own care.115 Care teams are available 24/7, wherever it is convenient for the patient—at home, in the community, at their neighborhood hub, or virtually. Hubs are built to meet local community needs and provide a space for members and care teams to meet.116

Show more

Employing behavioral archetypes

Organizations can increase the effectiveness of behavior change initiatives by designing applications and offering incentives that are tailored to consumer types. This could involve gaining a better understanding of the characteristics of people who share similar behaviors and the barriers that may keep them from healthy behavior. Then, strategies or nudges can be developed to address those groups.

Archetype analysis can also use behavioral patterns over time to identify groups of patients who behave similarly in the course of their care journey. Using this type of analysis on data from Clinicas del Azucar (CdA), the largest private network of diabetes and hypertension clinics in Mexico, Deloitte showed that the care provided in these “one-stop shops” for diabetes care resulted in lower HbA1c levels, but it requires patient engagement.

By reviewing patient health care data over time, Deloitte and CdA identified three main groups based on engagement patterns. Working with both CdA staff and patients, Deloitte also identified specific barriers to continued engagement for patients in these groups—cost, attitudes, or self-confidence. Tailored strategies could be developed to help keep them engaged in care.

Deloitte’s STEP UP data is being analyzed to identify classes of patients who are most likely to respond to incentives as well as the behavioral archetypes that can help in the development and matching of incentives. The results will be published in the near future.

Leveraging accessible data and AI to personalize engagement

Smart technologies can make health care more mobile, portable, and affordable, and enable the delivery of the right solution at the right time, personalized for an individual health consumer.117 Interoperable data provides better access to patient information, and health care is starting to use artificial intelligence (AI) for precision engagement, tailoring nudges to an individual’s personality, motivations, and challenges.118

Tailored nudges (choices and interventions) are possible in real time (when it matters most) using adaptive reinforcement learning methods. Traditional analytics and data science methods work at the population level, comparing people with similar demographic profiles to suggest what might work. It’s not the same as building a personalized model that is based on an individual’s previous behavior; it identifies factors most likely to influence that decision, and is responsive to actions taken (choices made).

Personalized testing can also be combined with reinforcement methods to shape approaches and interventions that may work best for an individual. When we observe how someone handles a particular decision, we gain a powerful data point and can test different derivatives to inform our understanding of that individual. This creates a virtuous, personalized cycle.

Investing in health behavior

“Because of COVID-19, every business leader is thinking about health and knows it is a core part of business continuity. The life sciences and health care industry must respond to the crisis today, while also helping us thrive after COVID-19 with improved health behavior, mental health/resilience, and employee wellness.”

Asif Dhar, US National Life Sciences & Health Care Industry leader, Deloitte

Change is a process, and every company should assess its ability to meet challenges and determine the building blocks necessary for supporting healthy behavior. While an organization’s business model and populations of interest will likely guide decisions, areas to consider should include investments in talent, infrastructure and data security, and partnerships.

Making the right investments in talent

Designing with people in mind requires talent and expertise in behavioral science. With their extensive knowledge, behavioral scientists can help close the gap between scientific and business communities and bring psychological principles to business and marketing strategies. New C-suite roles are emerging.119

  • The chief behavioral officer (CBO) is a leader skilled in applying behavioral science and has an in-depth understanding of business and customer challenges. CBOs are advocates for keeping people at the center of policies and programs and are responsible for journey-mapping the consumer experience to behavior and motivations. Bloomberg predicts that the top jobs for the next decade will be behavioral scientists and data analysts.120 In addition to being a curious problem-solver, the CBO ideally possesses a talent stack that includes:
    • Experimental design
    • Psychology knowledge
    • Data analysis
    • Digital experimentation
    • Product management121
  • The chief experience officer (CXO) is a leader who oversees both customer experience (CX) and employee experience (EX) holistically. Great employee experience is often the foundation for great customer experience.122 Deloitte’s CXO, Amelia Dunlop, leads a team of problem-solvers who use human-centered design and customer insights strategy to help businesses shift their focus from customer experience to human experience.123

“We believe that people want to be treated like humans and less as a part of a homogenous customer experience. Designing for a human experience is a bigger opportunity.”

Amelia Dunlop, chief experience officer, Deloitte Digital124

Making the right investments in infrastructure and data security

Infrastructure investments should focus on flexible, adaptable technology and using data insights to create AI-powered personalized interventions. This usually requires access to workflow for training models directly on human responses and proposed interventions. Most analytical infrastructure exists outside of health care workflow, and partnerships are often required.

AI-powered insights at an individual level require individualized interventions and tests—exponentially straining legal and regulatory review processes not designed for rapid and personalized, multivariate testing. AI methods also often struggle to support documentation and validation processes designed for population-level intervention programs. Investments in AI and data technology should be coupled with innovations in legal and regulatory review processes (often improved through a different application of AI).

Health care stakeholders should also couple data and analytics infrastructure investments with a modern data governance model. A modern model allows for role-based (and, specifically, data scientist) access to de-identified datasets for testing in sandbox environments. Governance should cover data, insights, and algorithms.

Finally, data security is a dominant concern for health consumers, and it should remain front and center for health care and life science organizations. With so many new and evolving sources of data, we need methods and technologies that protect that data and predict and prevent attacks. While minimizing risk, organizations also need to be sensitive to the ethical use of health data.

Making the right investments in partnerships

Partnerships are a pillar in transforming 21st century health care. They call for a joint approach to solving problems while empowering the consumer at the center of the health care ecosystem. They should also involve the communities where patients live, work, and play.125

Consumers

Organizations should consider how to earn the trust and partnership of consumers, especially considering the amount of sensitive health data being generated around patients and the bioethics of health data.

Communities/community organizations

Community organizations and patient advocates can help address social determinants of health and structural issues. They are a trusted voice that brings unique insights about the populations they serve and can drive human-centered solutions to health challenges.

Strategic business partnerships

Strategic business partners elevate the whole to a sum greater than its parts. For example, when CVS acquired Aetna, the retailer combined its knowledge of consumer behavior with the insurer’s data warehouse containing rich information on health care costs, quality, and utilization patterns. The result was both optimization of care delivery and consumer engagement.126 Also, consider the brand permission that strategic partners bring to the relationship—specifically, do they have the trust of consumers and the public?

Technology ecosystems

Technology ecosystems help drive decision-making, but players come and go. When designing and building solutions over the long term, health care and life science organizations should be able to adapt to unanticipated changes. New sources of data and platforms should be plug-and-play and foster interoperability. 

Academia

Researchers can help identify promising technologies and develop new methods for applying research findings to health problems. Their breadth and depth of research may help determine the likely success of approaches. Researchers are also training the next generation of talent and can be a great resource for acquiring new talent.

Government and policymakers

Government services and policymakers are sources of vast amounts of public health data and knowledge. They can help identify new and overarching problems. Partnerships in these areas can forge a joint interest in shaping policies that can impact health behavior (e.g., land use, food taxes, screening requirements).

Conclusion

Health behavior has been a persistent problem and not one that is going to be solved in the short term. But behavior is the foundation of health and should be addressed. We cannot look to technology and technology disruptors alone to fix the health behavior problem. Instead, we need to acknowledge and address the infrastructure and drivers of poor health behavior at every level, from the individual to societal level.

These changes cannot be made overnight and will likely require investments and partnerships that will build value over the long term. Behavioral science and a human approach should be built into nearly every aspect of health care delivery and drive the design of health technology, not vice versa. Paired together, there can be tremendous gains to be made.

We can build a better future of health if we keep individuals and the human experience at the center of initiatives. An empathetic health care system that realizes people are wired to make unhealthy decisions can gain the knowledge it needs to drive better health outcomes and a healthier society.

Strategy checklist: Adopting a behavioral science approach

To enable consumer-driven health care based on behavioral science, we should assess our current approach and resources and set the direction for the next decade. How will you reorient your approach for the future of health? Are you asking the right questions?

  1. Helping consumers make good decisions
    • How can data be presented for better decision-making?  Are we addressing well-understood and identifiable decision-making failure modes (e.g., overconfidence, affective heuristic, etc.)?
    • Do we understand the cognitive load and health literacy requirements implicit in our communications? Is there a formal (and quantitative) approach to evaluation of messages and offers as related to cognitive load?
    • Is there a two-way exchange of information between us and consumers? Can the consumer provide feedback and correct our data? Can we adapt messages, interventions, and/or incentives to consumer feedback?
  2. Designing engagement and experience for humans
    • How can we create a more empathetic health care experience? Are our investments in technology making the experience more human, more personal? And does the experience adapt and improve over time for consumers?
    • How can we make behavior change more intentional? Are we helping people break down large long-term goals into smaller, nudgable steps that build self-efficacy and can be the start of a habit-formation model?
    • Are we really working toward a 360-degree view of consumers, or do we just use the term to feel better about integrating our customer interaction data? Specifically, how much investment (if any) have we made in understanding the consumer as they, and their relationships, understand themselves?
    • Can we tie our investments in engagement to quantifiable improvements in satisfaction and experience? Can we report: “We’ve seen a 20% improvement in experience associated with the ‘$’ spent on ‘x’ last year?”
  3. Effectively applying adaptable technology that enables personalization
    • Are we using AI as a better analytical mousetrap (e.g., shifting from logistic regression to ElasticNet) or are we thinking about AI in consumer and business workflow? Where is the “artificial” in your AI investments—where are we mimicking the human process and influencing decisions and outcomes?
    • Do we have a clear vision of a personalized experience? What is the role of data and technology in that vision?
  4. Investing in talent and partnerships
    • Who is focusing on building and maintaining an empathetic human experience?
    • What companies have brand permission with consumers for us to take the relationship with consumers to the next level?
    • What partnerships can we put in place to accelerate development (and fail fast)? Who is more agile than we are and how can we partner with them for speed?

The future of health

The health industry is on the cusp of a major transformation that will affect all stakeholders. Incumbent players can either lead this transformation as innovative and well-connected market leaders or they can try to resist this inevitable change. A wide range of companies—from inside and outside of the health care sector—are already making strategic investments that could form the foundation for a future of health that is defined by radically interoperable data, open and secure platforms, and consumer-driven care.

Learn more

The authors would like to thank the following individuals for their contributions to this report: Alex SchulteEmma HarveyHayley Anderson, and Yuting Wu.

The authors would like to give special thanks to Mitesh PatelJason RiisSummer KnightJen FisherAsif Dhar, and Amelia Dunlop for their insights into the report. Thanks also to Angela Dunn for her assistance in writing this report.

The authors would like to thank Ramani Moses for help with shaping and editing the paper, and Terry KochLynn Sherry, and Laura DeSimio for messaging and design input.

Cover image by: Kevin Weier

  1. Science of Behavior Change, “Have you ever wondered why it's so hard to stick to that diet or exercise routine? Researchers at Science Of Behavior Change are wondering that, too,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  2. Kate Gibson, “More Americans report feeling lonely—blame work and social media,” CBS News, January 24, 2020.

    View in Article
  3. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, “Sleep and chronic disease,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  4. YouTube, “Predictably irrational—basic human motivations: Dan Ariely at TEDxMidwest,” video, August 29, 2012.

    View in Article
  5. Evan Nesterak, “Imagining the next decade of behavioral science,” Behavioral Scientist, January 20, 2020.

    View in Article
  6. Deloitte Insights, New year, new nudges, February 7, 2019.

    View in Article
  7. Ralph Judah and David Rabinowitz, “Could COVID-19 accelerate improvements in mental and behavioral health?,” Deloitte Health Forward Blog, May 19, 2020.

    View in Article
  8. Rahul Mehendale and Jennifer Radin, “Welcome to the virtual age: Industrial 5.0 is changing the future of work,” Deloitte Health Forward Blog, June 11, 2020.

    View in Article
  9. Neal Batra and David Betts, “How has COVID-19 altered our path to the future of health?,” Deloitte Health Forward Blog, June 25, 2020.

    View in Article
  10. Steve Burrill, “Will COVID-19 bring us to the future of health sooner than we expected?,” Deloitte Health Forward Blog, May 28, 2020.

    View in Article
  11. Ibid.

    View in Article
  12. David Betts, Leslie Korenda, and Shane Giuliani, Are consumers already living the future of health?, Deloitte Insights, August 13, 2020.

    View in Article
  13. David Betts et al., Clinical leaders' top concerns about reopening, Deloitte Insights, June 5, 2020.

    View in Article
  14. Mehendale and Radin, Welcome to the virtual age.

    View in Article
  15. Simon Mair, “How will coronavirus change the world?,” BBC, March 31, 2020.

    View in Article
  16. Betts et al., Clinical leaders' top concerns about reopening.

    View in Article
  17. Farid Rahimi and Amin Talebi Bezmin Abadi, “Practical strategies against the novel coronavirus and COVID-19—the imminent global threat,” Archives of Medical Research 51, no. 3 (2020): pp. 280-81.

    View in Article
  18. Hesperian Health Guides, “Coronavirus—COVID-19,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  19. Ezra Klein, “How to think about coronavirus risk in your life,” Vox, Sep 10, 2020.

    View in Article
  20. Morgan Spencer Gold et al., “COVID-19 and comorbidities: A systematic review and meta-analysis,” Postgraduate Medicine, July 2020.

    View in Article
  21. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, “SARS-CoV-2–associated deaths among persons aged <21 years—United States, February 12–July 31, 2020,” September 18, 2020.

    View in Article
  22. William Wan, “The coronavirus pandemic is pushing America into a mental health crisis,” Washington Post, May 4, 2020.

    View in Article
  23. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, “REACH: CDC’s racial and ethnic approaches to community health program,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  24. CDC’s National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, “Chronic diseases in America,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  25. National Institutes of Health, “Diabetes increasing in youths,” April 25, 2017.

    View in Article
  26. Cleveland Clinic, “Why are heart attacks on the rise in young people?,” Health Essentials, April 26, 2019.

    View in Article
  27. Harmeet Kaur and Skylar Mitchell, “States are calling racism a public health crisis. Here's what that means,” CNN, August 14, 2020.

    View in Article
  28. Kimberly Leonard, “Health care costs set to top $10k per person,” U.S. News & World Report, July 13, 2016.

    View in Article
  29. Ibid.

    View in Article
  30. Medtronic, “Managing chronic disease,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  31. Better Medicare Alliance, “Hill briefing on innovations in chronic disease management,” April 18, 2020.

    View in Article
  32. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, “Health and economic costs of chronic diseases,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  33. American Academy of Family Physicians website, accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  34. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, “Heart disease and stroke,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  35. Ibid.

    View in Article
  36. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, “Chronic kidney disease in the United States, 2019,” accessed September 2020.

    View in Article
  37. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, “Cancer: Data are for the US,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  38. HealthyPeople.gov, “Respiratory diseases,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  39. Alzheimer's Association, “Facts and figures,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  40. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, “Health expenditures: Data are for the US,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  41. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, “Coronavirus disease 2019: Five chronic conditions are associated with higher risk of severe illness from COVID-19,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  42. Yong Liu et al., “Clustering of five health-related behaviors for chronic disease prevention among adults, United States, 2013,” Preventing Chronic Disease 13, (2016).

    View in Article
  43. Greg Szwartz, “The AI will see you now: How cognitive computing is transforming medicine,” Wired, accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  44. William D. Eggers et al., Behavior-first government transformation, Deloitte Insights, August 25, 2020.

    View in Article
  45. Nesterak, “Imagining the next decade of behavioral science.

    View in Article
  46. Ibid.

    View in Article
  47. YouTube, “Predictably irrational—basic human motivations.

    View in Article
  48. Ibid.

    View in Article
  49. Creative Group, “Motivation theories: Temporal discounting could be costing you money," accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  50. Hal Ersner-Hershfield, G. Elliott Wimmer, and Brian Knutson, “Saving for the future self: Neural measures of future self-continuity predict temporal discounting,” Social Cognitive and Affective Neuroscience 4, no. 1 (2009): pp. 85–92.

    View in Article
  51. Stephanie N. Pike et al., “Examining the food retail choice context in urban food deserts, Ohio, 2015,” Preventing Chronic Disease 14, October 5, 2017.

    View in Article
  52. ScienceDaily, “Health benefits of the Mediterranean diet are confirmed, but just for the upper class,” August 1, 2017.

    View in Article
  53. Harvard T.H. Chan, “Are anti-nutrients harmful?,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  54. Michael Hull, “Is there a difference between fresh, frozen, and canned vegetables?,” Examine.com, April 3, 2020.

    View in Article
  55. Sara Berg, “Schools push lifestyle medicine to boost chronic-disease prevention,” American Medical Association, February 2, 2018.

    View in Article
  56. Rani Polak, Rachele M. Pojednic, and Edward M. Phillips, “Lifestyle medicine education,” American Journal of Lifestyle Medicine 9, no. 5 (2015): pp. 361-67.

    View in Article
  57. Jean M.Twenge, Zlatan Krizan, and Garrett Hislerb, “Decreases in self-reported sleep duration among U.S. adolescents 2009–2015 and association with new media screen time,” Sleep Medicine 39, November 2017.

    View in Article
  58. Statista, “Percentage of US employees who stated the stress from their job caused them to regularly engage in unhealthy behaviors from 2015 to 2017,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  59. Breanna T. Bradham, “How the pandemic may change ‘work-life balance’ forever,” Bloomberg, July 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  60. The James Altucher Show, “Creating ‘a true, deep sense of accomplishment,’” podcast featuring Dan Ariely, accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  61. Garry Egger et al., “Psychosocial determinants of chronic disease: Implications for lifestyle medicine,” American Journal of Lifestyle Medicine 13, no. 6 (2019): pp: 526–32.

    View in Article
  62. The James Altucher Show, “Creating ‘a true, deep sense of accomplishment.

    View in Article
  63. Eggers et al., Behavior-first government transformation.

    View in Article
  64. Deloitte, “Technology, quality, and hyper collaboration,” press release, June 2, 2015.

    View in Article
  65. Dwayne C. Turner, “The role of culture in chronic illness,” American Behavioral Scientist 39, no. 6 (1996): pp. 717–28.

    View in Article
  66. Catherine Kim, “What a Korean teenage fashion trend reveals about the culture of mask-wearing,” Politico, August 11, 2020.

    View in Article
  67. Betts, Korenda, and Giuliani, Are consumers already living the future of health?.

    View in Article
  68. Ibid.

    View in Article
  69. Clay Forsberg, “Creating a new healthcare paradigm,” March 28, 2019.

    View in Article
  70. Statista, “Leading health and fitness apps in the Google Play Store worldwide in June 2020, by revenue,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  71. Betts, Korenda, and Giuliani, Are consumers already living the future of health?.

    View in Article
  72. Patricia McKiever, “Telehealth’s role in changing patient behavior,” Health Recovery Solutions, accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  73. Cheng‐Kai Kao and David M. Liebovitz, “Consumer mobile health apps: Current state, barriers, and future directions,” PM&R, May 2017.

    View in Article
  74. Research 2 Guidance, “mHealth app developer economics,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  75. Greg Szwartz, “STEP UP: When paired with gamification and a science-based engagement program, wearables can boost (and sustain) activity levels,” Deloitte Health Forward Blog, September 9, 2019.

    View in Article
  76. Ibid.

    View in Article
  77. Ibid.

    View in Article
  78. Raj Sharma, “Who really owns your health data?,” Forbes, April 23, 2018.

    View in Article
  79. Jeanette Beebe, “You can now make money selling your own health data, but should you?,” Fast Company, September 27, 2019.

    View in Article
  80. Wikipedia, “Thinking, Fast and Slow,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  81. Astrid Groenewegen, “Kahneman fast and slow thinking explained,” SUE, accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  82. Katherine R. Arlinghaus and Craig A. Johnston, “Advocating for behavior change with education,” American Journal of Lifestyle Medicine 12, no. 2 (2018): pp. 113–116.

    View in Article
  83. Cuicui Wang et al., “Growth mindset can reduce the adverse effect of substance use on adolescent reasoning,” Frontiers in Psychology 10 (2019).

    View in Article
  84. Elizabeth Scott and Adah Chung, “Are there different types of happiness?,” Verywell Mind, June 27, 2020.

    View in Article
  85. Mayo Clinic, “Denial: When it helps, when it hurts,” April 9, 2020.

    View in Article
  86. CDC’s National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, “Chronic diseases in America.

    View in Article
  87. Wikipedia, “Optimism bias,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  88. Mayo Clinic, “Denial: When it helps, when it hurts.

    View in Article
  89. Armen E. Allahverdyan and Aram Galstyan, “Opinion dynamics with confirmation bias,” PLoS One 9, no. 7 (2014).

    View in Article
  90. Wikipedia, “List of cognitive biases,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  91. Jun Wu, “Empathy in artificial intelligence,” Forbes, December 17, 2019.

    View in Article
  92. Ibid.

    View in Article
  93. WEGO Health, “Empathy in healthcare: 7 benefits,” November 14, 2017.

    View in Article
  94. Michael W. Austin, “Empathy in health care,” Psychology Today, March 21, 2019.

    View in Article
  95. Ashley Reichheld et al., “A new measure of trust for consumer industries,” Deloitte Digital, 2020.

    View in Article
  96. Betts, Korenda, and Giuliani, Are consumers already living the future of health?.

    View in Article
  97. Jennifer Walker, “The power of empathy in healthcare,” American Academy of Physician Assistants, April 2, 2020.

    View in Article
  98. Betts, Korenda, and Giuliani, Are consumers already living the future of health?.

    View in Article
  99. Walker, “The power of empathy in healthcare.

    View in Article
  100. Physicians News Digest, “Empathy be a factor in medical school admissions,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  101. Ed Jones, “Behavioral health as an agent of change, part III: Primary care redesign,” Behavioral Healthcare Executive, April 13, 2020.

    View in Article
  102. Ibid.

    View in Article
  103. Ibid.

    View in Article
  104. Richard Joseph and Sohan Japa, “We were inspired to become primary care physicians. Now we’re reconsidering a field in crisis,” STAT, June 20, 2019.

    View in Article
  105. Nesterak, “Imagining the next decade of behavioral science.

    View in Article
  106. Lindsay Hough and Jeff Mullins, Medicaid in 2040: Five big changes, Deloitte Insights, March 18, 2020.

    View in Article
  107. News in Health, “Creating healthy habits,” March 2018.

    View in Article
  108. B. J. Fogg, Tiny Habits: The Small Changes That Change Everything (Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2019).

    View in Article
  109. Ibid.

    View in Article
  110. Maria Godoy, “‘Tiny Habits’ are the key to behavioral change,” NPR Life Kit, February 27, 2020.

    View in Article
  111. Denise de Ridder, “Nudging for beginners: A shortlist of issues in urgent need of research,” The European Health Psychologist 16, January 2014.

    View in Article
  112. Hough and Mullins, Medicaid in 2040.

    View in Article
  113. Corinne Fitzgerald et al., “Mobility ecosystems: Striving towards a seamless interface for customers,” Swiss Re Institute, May 13, 2019.

    View in Article
  114. Kevin Truong, “Cityblock Health raises $65 million to bring healthcare services to underserved communities,” MedCity News, April 12, 2019.

    View in Article
  115. Ibid.

    View in Article
  116. Cityblock website, accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  117. Sara Heath, “How mHealth technology supports patient engagement strategies,” PatientEngagementHIT, accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  118. Greg Reh, Jonathan Fox, and Christine Chang, Tackling digital transformation, Deloitte Insights, July 17, 2019.

    View in Article
  119. Janelle de Weerd, “How chief behavioral officers are changing the norm of companies,” Crobox, February 11, 2020.

    View in Article
  120. Lucy Meakin, “Top jobs for next decade are behavioral scientist, data analyst,” Bloomberg, December 30, 2019.

    View in Article
  121. Erik Johnson, “How to hire a behavioral scientist,” Behavioral Scientist, November 20, 2017.

    View in Article
  122. Denise Lee Yohn, “Why every company needs a chief experience officer,” Harvard Business Review, June 13, 2019.

    View in Article
  123. Deloitte, “Elevating the human experience,” accessed September 29, 2020.

    View in Article
  124. Ibid.

    View in Article
  125. Bruce Broussard, “Partnerships are the key to transforming 21st century health,” LinkedIn Pulse, October 6, 2015.

    View in Article
  126. Zachary Hafner and Sihyun Choi, “The Aetna-CVS partnership: What it means for healthcare,” Becker's Hospital Review, December 13, 2017.

    View in Article

Did you find this useful?

Thanks for your feedback

If you would like to help improve Deloitte.com further, please complete a 3-minute survey