China's automotive industry is leading a new wave of global transformation. As the world's most dynamic and innovative market, China's NEV sector is flourishing and shifting from policy-driven to market-driven growth, with its penetration rate in 2024 Q3 year-to-date exceeding 50% for the first time and BEV accounting for 29%. What's more, China has accelerated its evolution into a global automotive technology innovation hub. In power batteries, Chinese companies now hold 6 positions among the global top 10 and command 2/3 of global installation capacity. In frontier areas like Software-Defined Vehicles (SDV), smart cockpits and autonomous driving, China demonstrates equally robust innovation capabilities.
However, MNCs are facing unprecedented challenges in this profound industry transformation. On top of the overall China's passenger vehicle market growth slowing down to 2% 2024 Q3 year-to-date caused by consumer confidence going down, domestic brands are reshaping competitive dynamics by leveraging their outstanding intelligence price value and unique brand experience, further challenging the brand hierarchy long established by MNCs. Particularly driven by local emerging NEV players like NIO, XPENG, and Li Auto, local consumers' expectation of product intelligent performance and car purchase and usage experience has been continuously rising. While most MNC OEMs delayed the strategic adaptation to China market new dynamics, resulted in significant setbacks and continuous market share decline from below 50% in 2023 to 41% in 2024 Q3, as well as 15% drop in sales volume year-on-year.
Under the intensified price war pressure triggered by weak demand and oversupply, MNCs are facing more and more severe survival challenges in 6 areas, including brand, product, technology, profitability, business model, and compliance. MNCs are fundamentally rethinking and upgrading their localization strategies, initiating the era of In China for China (C4C) 2.0.
Figure 1. MNC OEMs' New Challenges in the Era of C4C
With cost optimization and market demand fulfilment as the key focus of in China for China 1.0, MNC OEMs successfully established their market presence and achieved rapid growth by deploying the three-pillar approach: local production, China-specific models, exclusive features, together with strong brand influence.
Under the C4C 2.0 strategic context, MNCs are executing a dual-track strategy, shifting from midstream manufacturing towards both upstream R&D and supply chain localization enhancement and downstream customer-facing experience localization optimization. This"Smiling Curve" transformation happens for two main reasons. On one hand is for MNC OEMs to maintain competitiveness by upgrading brand positioning, product portfolio, distribution channels, consumer journey, etc., andfurther direct to customers for stronger brand awareness and optimized customer experience. On the other hand, in response to global geopolitical uncertainties and local regulatory requirements (e.g. data security), the acceleration of R&D and supply chain localization operations to establish China-centric NEV technological competenciesis becoming more and more urgent.
These customer-oriented initiatives deliver rapid market impact and sustain brand prominence, forming the essential foundation of MNCs' C4C 2.0 strategy. While technology capability-oriented initiatives require substantial capital and longer payback periods, they are essential for developing sustainable technological capabilities in China market and even benefiting their competencies in global markets. With a good balance of both, MNC OEMs aim to preserve and bolster their market competitiveness in China by increasing the "China-oriented content" throughout the entire value chain.
Figure 2. MNC OEMs C4C Value Chain "Smiling Curve" and Key Focus
Different MNC OEMs have different layouts and focuses in the "China-oriented content" industry chain, which is closely related to their strategic positioning in China market. By analysing the two key dimensions - "China market contribution level" and "China market incremental performance", MNC OEMs can be summarized into three distinct strategic positioning choices in C4C 2.0.
Figure 3. MNC OEMs' Differentiated C4C Positioning
Representative: some German brands
In recent years, these MNCs have relatively stable business development in China with significant contributions to global sales. Facing the price war, some of them have announced large-scale investment plans in China, further demonstrating their commitment and patience to deeply penetrate the Chinese market, with the belief that 'those who win China, win the world'.
For example, a German OEM has formed a JV with a Chinese player to establish a NEV R&D company, ensuring aligned interests through shareholding. In order to reinforce its layout in China, another German brand has acquired shares of a domestic start-up to accelerate technological iteration and enhance market competitiveness with joint development of vehicle platforms.
For example, a German OEM has established a global R&D center in China, strengthened its local R&D team, and transferred certain core technologies R&D decision-making authority to its Chinese team.
For example, a German OEM has invested billions RMB to co-develop intelligent driving software with a Chinese chip company, breaking global suppliers' dominance and strengthening the local supply chain autonomy.
Notably, these C4C 2.0 technology innovations will also benefit their overseas markets. Leveraging China's leading advantages in new energy and intelligence, they forma virtuous cycle where the Chinese market serves as the forefront of innovation to drive the global competitiveness increase.
Representative: some Japanese & American brands
Although they also have steady performance in the Chinese market, these MNCs' business in China have limited contribution to global, and their investment attitude are more conservative. In the midst of the price war, they mainly rely on collaboration with local partners to gradually establish a foothold.
This strategy prioritizes making full use of local resources to avoid large-scale capital investment, while addressing technological weaknesses, maintaining product competitiveness, preserving business flexibility. and pragmatically balancing cost advantages. However, whether it can achieve long-term technology development advantages remains to be further tested.
Representative: some Korean & French brands
Faced with intense competition and rapid changes in the Chinese market, these MNCs local performance and contribution to global are particularly challenged. They are attempting to enhance their brand presence through lightweight approaches to alleviate the pressure of declining sales.
When considering the C4C 2.0 winning strategy, MNC OEMs need to firstly clarify the strategic positioning of the Chinese market within their global landscape. Considering the role as a part of the global growth engine, the brand image in Chinese market, and also the potential to become a pilot forefront for technology innovation, each OEM's specific strategic positioning will not only guide the direction of the "China for China 2.0" but also establish tailored strategic boundaries, thereby influencing the resource allocation and investment pace of technology, talent, capital, etc., as well as the local operation requirements.
Secondly, it is essential to reset the financial and business goals in line with the strategic positioning, clarify the business layout and investment return logic in key strategic areas, promote the localization of the entire industry chain and the optimization of cost structures, under reasonable balance between profit margin and market performance improvement(sales volume, market share, etc.), key technology breakthroughs (autonomous driving level, driving range extension, etc.), sustainable development vision (carbon neutrality pathways, social responsibility, etc.), as well as the enhancement of local operations and profitability (OEMs, dealers, etc.), in order to strengthen increasingly important business resilience.
Under such a framework, MNC OEMs need to further upgrade their capabilities in business, organization, and digitalization to achieve effective implementation of strategy execution.
Figure 4. MNC OEMs' C4C Framework
MNC OEMs can advance their business capabilities under the C4C 2.0 strategy through three primary pathways, each presenting distinct characteristics and challenges in terms of capital investment, technology acquisition, and operational effectiveness.
In the C4C 2.0 era, MNC OEMs must not only build their business capabilities to remain competitive in the Chinese market but also enhance adaptability through localized organizational changes. Talent localization and organization mechanism restructure as two key enablers, provide companies with a management perspective closer to the local market and a more efficient decision-making mechanism, thereby gaining the initiative in the rapidly changing Chinese market.
In the C4C 2.0 era, as MNCs deepen their digital transformation across R&D, manufacturing, and services, (e.g. smart production, digital customer journey, etc.), digital ecosystem and well-rounded data compliance management has become core strategic pillars in ensuring the digital capabilities of MNC OEMs.
From external capabilities to internal strengths, from products to services, and from business operations to organization, MNCs are deepening their C4C 2.0 strategies in all aspects. Whether through the comprehensive investment of All-in Pioneers, the pragmatic focus of Cautious Explorers, or the strategic lightweight upgrade of Risk-adverse Observers, each choice reflects a different interpretations of Chinese market's long-term value.
However, the C4C transformation is not something that can be achieved overnight. Beyond establishing a clear strategic direction, it demands continuous enhancement of systematic development in business capabilities, organizational competencies, and digital infrastructure. This is a protracted battle that tests a player's strategic resolve, resource commitment, and innovation breakthrough.
Deloitte further believes that C4C is not only a localization strategy but also a critical choice to enhance the global competitiveness of MNCs. The true significance of C4C lies in how to transform the innovation momentum of the Chinese automotive industry into a sustained driving force for global. MNCs that can achieve self-transcendence in this process will continue to hold a significant position in the global market landscape.
Over the years, Deloitte China has been partnering with MNC OEMs in reviewing strategic priorities, implementing strategic initiatives, and driving sustained growth in their China operations. We provide C4C solutions in 6 main areas, covering brand, product, technology, operation & profitability, business model, and compliance.
Figure 6. Deloitte China C4C Solutions [Automotive Industry]
Authors
Andreas Maennel
Deloitte Automotive Industry Leading Partner
Email: amaennel@deloittecn.com.cn
Jeff Mou
Deloitte Consulting Automotive Industry Partner
Email: jemou@deloittecn.com.cn
Jessica Li
Deloitte Consulting Automotive Industry Director
Email: jessicatli@deloittecn.com.cn
Jiaming Li
Deloitte China MNC Services Lead Partner,
Consulting Businesses Chief Strategy Officer
Email: jiamli@deloittecn.com.cn