LTE subscriber numbers to triple, ‘mobile’ advertising to grow by 50 percent, roll out of 4K HDTV
TMT Predictions 2013
A record one billion smartphones will be shipped in 2013, mobile advertising will get split into two categories— tablets and smartphones— and more than 90 percent of user-generated passwords will be vulnerable to hacking in a matter of seconds. This is according to the 12th edition of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited’s (DTTL) Technology, Media and Telecommunications (TMT) Predictions 2013.The TMT Predictions 2013 report also forecasts that broadcasters will continue to deliver the majority of Over- the- Top (OTT) services, and 4K televisions won’t disrupt the marketplace just yet.
Additionally in 2013, the smartphone sector may generate $4.9 billion in revenues in 2013, while advertising on tables may generate $3.4 billion. Revenue per unit however reveals a different dynamic: smartphone display ad revenues are forecast at $7 per tablet and $0.60 per smartphone (including in-app ads). There will also be an upsurge in momentum behind LTE, with 2013 being the first year in which LTE thrives across multiple markets. The subscriber base will triple to 200 million by year end, and those on LTE tariffs will represent about 10 percent of all service revenues. Usage of LTE will be evolutionary rather than revolutionary: the major benefits of subscribing to LTE from 3G are likely to be better performance from existing applications from e-mail to updating social networks.
“Mobile” advertising — a category including tablets, smartphones and feature phones —should grow by 50 percent to reach $9-billion globally. Usage, however, will become increasingly varied, with a growing number of smartphones owners (about 400 million out of an installed base of 1.9 billion by year –end) rarely or never connected their devices to data.
Of total sales of PCs, tablets and smartphones in 2013, PCs will be about one fifth. However more than 80 percent of Internet traffic measured in bits will continue to be generated on traditional personal computers (desktops and laptops). And of the total time spent at home and at work on PCs, tablets and smartphones combined, more than 70 percent will be on a PC. 2013 will be the year in which the television industry starts preparing in earnest for the next iteration of high definition (HD) known as 4K, which offers four times the resolution of the current highest standard HD TV. The full roll-out of 4K will take years: in 2013, 4K will be in very few living rooms. There will be no 4K broadcasts in 2013, and there is little content so far. About 20 TV sets will be available to those wishing to spend $15,000 - $25,000 on a set.
Crowdfunding portals will raise $3-billion globally, a 100 percent increase over 2011. More than 90 percent of Fortune 500 companies will have selectively or fully implemented an ESN by the end of 2013, a 70 percent increase over 2011. Of those who register, only a third will read content once a week or more and just 40 percent will make an ESN post in the average month.
Very few additional companies will adopt a bring-your-own-computer (BYOC) policy where the employer pays for the PC. At the same time, 50 percent of Fortune 500 companies will allow employees to bring their own personally-owned and paid for computers. The demand for wireless bandwidth continues to grow causing increased spectrum exhaustion— leading mainly to slower speeds, but sometimes an inability to access networks or dropped calls or data sessions.
Between 50 and 100 mobile operators will offer all-you-can-eat services with unlimited access to specific application— a middle ground between unrestricted all-you-can-eat tariffs and metered data charging.