Technology Predictions 2011
People will be using a wider assortment of technology than ever before as they fire up smartphones and tablets to tackle a variety of tasks, including interacting with their governments. Also, learn more about what's ahead in battery technology and hydrogen fuel.
Video
Deloitte's Eric Openshaw, Duncan Stewart and Paul Lee discuss developments in the technology sector in this video about the technology predictions for 2011.
Podcast
Technology Predictions overview with Eric Openshaw and Paul Lee.
Technology Predictions
1. Smartphones and tablets: more than half of all computers aren’t computers anymore
Deloitte predicts that in 2011 more than 50 percent of computing devices sold globally will not be PCs. While PC sales are likely to reach almost 400 million units, Deloitte’s estimate for combined sales of smartphones, tablets and non-PC netbooks is well over 400 million.
2. Operating system diversity: no standard emerges on the smartphone or tablet
Smartphones and the new generation of tablets have three things in common: (1) they use similar, low-powered 1GHz processors; (2) they are being used like personal computers, although they are not personal computers; and (3) Deloitte predicts that by the end of 2011 no operating system on these devices will have a dominant market share.
3. Tablets in the enterprise: more than just a toy
Deloitte predicts that in 2011 more than 25 percent of all tablet computers will be bought by enterprises, and that figure is likely to rise in 2012 and beyond.
4. eGovernment: from option to obligation
In 2011 Deloitte predicts e-government usage will reach an inflection point. Across developed countries, the proportion of businesses that use eGov services for at least one process is expected to average over 90 percent, up from 75 percent in 2010.
5. Online regulation ratchets up, but cookies live on
Deloitte predicts that during the course of 2011 online privacy will provoke more irate headlines and exasperated calls for action than ever before.
6. Squeezing the electrons in: batteries don’t follow Moore’s Law<<br> Deloitte predicts that battery technology will make progress in 2011 and 2012. Energy density should rise and prices should fall. Plus, batteries should become more durable and charge faster.
7. Hydrogen comes out of hiding: the alternative alternative energy source
Deloitte predicts that hydrogen will enjoy tremendous success in 2011. However, this success will not be seen in the automotive market as expected, but in other applications, such as clean standby power generation in the telecom industry and indoor forklifts, where hydrogen’s energy density and environmental benefits outweigh its current limitations of high cost and lack of fueling infrastructure.
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