TMT Predictions 2013
Southeast Asia Edition
This publication presents Deloitte's view of key developments over the next 12-18 months that are likely to have significant medium- to long-term impacts for companies in TMT and other industries.
As in the previous two years, this year's Predictions report is published as a single report rather than split by technology, media and telecommunications. Deloitte's view is that developments in each sub-sector are now so inter-linked and interdependent that TMT executives need to be cognizant of key trends across all sectors.
For 2013, Deloitte has once again taken the Predictions a step further with the inclusion of the Southeast Asia TMT Practice's perspectives on the direction and applicability of trends in the region. In our view, the TMT sectors in Southeast Asia have a variety of economic and social conditions which have the potential to alter the way trends play out in individual markets. With increasing interconnectivity between markets as a result of ongoing globalization as well as ASEAN policy and synergy, it is critical to understand the nuance of the TMT trend lines in Southeast Asia. For this reason, we have included a "Southeast Asia perspectives" section with many of the global TMT Predictions.
We are often asked what differentiates Deloitte's TMT Predictions from other perspectives. It is all about methodology.
- We have a dedicated global research team.
- We undertake extensive primary research which blends thousands of depth discussions every year with online surveys of tens of thousands of respondents in twenty countries.
- We test our predictions with clients, industry analysts and conference attendees in the months leading to publication.
- We publish only perspectives that we think are new or counter to existing consensus and which we believe our readers should know about.
- We predict change and – where we disagree with the consensus view – lack of change.
- We aim to provide clear Predictions endpoints, so that our accuracy can be evaluated annually. In 2012 as in 2011, we were just over 80 percent accurate.
We are also asked why we create a Predictions document. Our answer is simple. Our view is that across every global industry, knowing what is likely (and unlikely) to come next in TMT trends is a key competitive differentiator.
For 2013, we expect key changes to include an upsurge in momentum behind Long Term Evolution (LTE) mobile networks, the start of preparations for the next generation of high definition television, known as 4K, the first one billion shipments year for smartphones and increased challenges for standard passwords.
And we believe key non-changes include many hundreds of millions of new smartphone owners continuing to use their data capable devices mostly for voice and text messages; further we expect the PC to remain a dominant device, as measured by usage rather than just units.
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