Technology, Media & Telecommunications predictions 2013 | Whitepaper
As in the previous two years, this year’s Predictions report is published as a single report rather than split by technology, media and telecommunications. Deloitte’s view is that developments in each sub-sector are now so inter-linked and interdependent that TMT executives need to be cognizant of key trends across all sectors.
We are often asked what differentiates Deloitte’s TMT Predictions from other perspectives. It is all about methodology.
- We have a dedicated global research team.
- We undertake extensive primary research which blends thousands of depth discussions every year with online surveys of tens of thousands of respondents in twenty countries.
- We test our predictions with clients, industry analysts and conference attendees in the months leading to publication.
- We publish only perspectives that we think are new or counter to existing consensus and which we believe our readers should know about.
- We predict change and – where we disagree with the consensus view – lack of change.
- We aim to provide clear Predictions endpoints, so that our accuracy can be evaluated annually. In 2012 as in 2011, we were just over 80 percent accurate.
We are also asked why we create a Predictions document. Our answer is simple. Our view is that across every global industry, knowing what is likely (and unlikely) to come next in TMT trends is a key competitive differentiator.
For 2013, we expect key changes to include an upsurge in momentum behind Long Term Evolution (LTE) mobile networks, the start of preparations for the next generation of high definition television, known as 4K, the first one billion shipments year for smartphones and increased challenges for standard passwords.
And we believe key non-changes include many hundreds of millions of new smartphone owners continuing to use their data capable devices mostly for voice and text messages; further we expect the PC to remain a dominant device, as measured by usage rather than just units.
We hope you and your colleagues find this year’s predictions for the TMT sector useful. As always, we welcome your feedback. We remind readers that our aim with Predictions is to catalyse discussions around significant developments that may require companies or governments to respond. We provide a view on what we think will happen, what will likely occur as a consequence, and what the implications are for various types of companies. We do not however presume that ours is the last word on any given topic: our intent is to stoke the debate.
This whitepaper is available in PDF format only.
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