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The Deloitte M&A Index

Q3 2014 - Rising ‘animal spirits’ continue to stoke M&A activity

Key points

  • Following the sharp rebound in deal volumes in Q2, Deloitte forecasts a continued uptick for Q3 2014, bolstered by strong economic results and renewed market confidence.
  • We expect global deal volumes to reach around 8,350 by the end of Q3 2014, up 9% over the same period in 2013.
  • The IPO boom continues and in H1 2014 companies have raised proceeds of $103 billion which is a 20 per cent increase over the same period in 2013. However, our analysis shows IPO proceeds earmarked for investment in growth are declining, which may prompt closer investor scrutiny.
  • The animal spirits are spilling over to M&A markets and we are seeing the return of hostile bids.

Read the Deloitte M&A Index

 

About the Deloitte M&A Index

The Deloitte M&A Index is a forward looking model that forecasts future global M&A deal volumes and reveals the factors influencing dealmaking. By anticipating M&A deal volumes, we hope to help our clients with their growth strategies.

The M&A Index is created from a wide range of weighted market indicators, including macroeconomic and key market indicators, funding and liquidity, company fundamentals and valuation data. Each quarter, these variables are tested for their statistical significance and relative relationships to M&A volumes.

As a result, we have a dynamic and evolving model which allows Deloitte UK to identify the factors impacting dealmaking and enables us to make a projection of future M&A deal volumes. The Deloitte M&A Index has a 90 per cent accuracy rate dating back to Q1 2008.

 

 

Previous editions

  • M&A Index Q2 2014
    A forward-looking model that forecasts future global M&A deal volumes and predicts the factors influencing dealmaking.
  • M&A Index H2 2013
    Recovery in deal volumes expected in H2 as sentiment improves.

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