This report describes four dramatically different but equally useful scenarios for the energy sector between now and 2010. Each scenario includes attention to the aspect of the energy business that is among the most uncertain of all — the retailing of electricity and natural gas to end customers.
The scenarios were developed by mixing and matching developments identified as possibilities in Parts 1-4 of The Utility Executive's Field Guide to the Future. These alternate futures include pleasant surprises as well as disappointments and disruptions. The conflicting scenarios show the difficulty of predicting the future of the energy sector.
Some companies excel despite the kind of uncertainty besetting the energy industry. Rather than pinning their plans to one "right" set of assumptions, they manage a portfolio of initiatives and investments that give them multiple alternatives and allow them to handle many different outcomes. They use techniques such as scenario-based planning and real options, and they build organizations that are versatile and good at change. We call this approach "strategic flexibility." Learn more from the PDF file attachment below.
Sign up for alerts from Deloitte Research
About Deloitte Research
Operating through a network of research professionals, senior consultants, academics and technology partners, Deloitte Research delivers innovative, practical insights companies can use to improve their overall business performance. Through its in-depth publications, surveys, reports and commentary, Deloitte Research identifies, analyzes and explains major issues that drive today's business dynamics and shape tomorrow's marketplace.
|
