Contact: Jamie Harley
Deloitte
Public Relations
+44 20 7303 5037
Contact: Celine Gordine-Wright
Deloitte
Public Relations
+44 20 7007 6384
Bill Dodwell, head of tax policy at Deloitte, said: “After the Chancellor's spectacular first Pre-Budget Report (PBR), last October, the Chancellor will find considerable public focus on his second PBR, to be delivered on 24 November. Undoubtedly, Alistair Darling will focus on the current challenging economic outlook, including his growth forecasts for the UK and tax, spending and borrowing figures for the current and next financial year.
"There has been considerable speculation about tax cuts, to aid the UK economy. We doubt that the Chancellor will propose any form of general tax cut, such as a cut in the VAT rate, since that sort of measure is very costly and does not target those who most need help: lower earners, those on benefits and smaller businesses. Instead, we may see targeted measures helping these groups.
“The PBR is the time when the personal allowances, benefits rates and national insurance rates for the next tax year are announced. These are based on the September Retail Prices Index (RPI), which peaked at 5.2%. Whilst the Chancellor could choose to override the RPI, setting lower rates, we think he will want to help households, which have borne inflation at this level in 2008.
“Additionally, we expect the Chancellor to set out his long-term plans for dealing with the abolition of the 10% tax rate; the increase in personal allowances in September was stated to be for this year alone.
“Elsewhere, business will be looking out for an announcement on whether the reform of the taxation of Foreign Profits will go ahead in 2009. If the Chancellor does proceed, it is expected that we'll see a new tax exemption for dividends from overseas companies paid to UK companies, together with some new limits on the deductibility of interest. It is also possible that there will be an update on the 'disguised interest' proposals, consulted on over the summer.
“Smaller businesses affected by the current challenging market conditions may also be offered a lifeline of sorts by the Chancellor. This could include a deferral of tax payments, or the introduction of a three year loss carry-back, allowing businesses with current tax losses to claim a repayment of tax paid in previous years.”
To speak to Bill Dodwell or another of Deloitte’s tax experts ahead of the Pre-Budget Report, please call Celine Gordine-Wright on 020 7007 6384.
Ends
Notes to editors:
Deloitte spokespeople:
The following experts from Deloitte are available now and on the day of the Pre-Budget Report for comment. From 12pm on Monday 24 November, please call the Deloitte PBR Press Hotline on 020 7007 3333, where you will be directly connected to one of our spokespeople:
| Bill Dodwell | Business taxation and general topics |
| David Norton | Corporate tax |
| Daniel Lyons | Indirect tax and green taxes |
| Patricia Mock | Personal taxes |
| Stuart Davies | Investment and pensions |
| Tony Cohen | Entrepreneurs, Capital Gains Tax |
| Matt Ellis | Employer taxes |
| Phil Nicklin | Property taxation and REITs |
| Michael Quinlan | Stamp taxes |
| Eliza Dungworth | Funds |
| Julian Small | Oil & gas |
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